Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/11/2022

Game Time: 6:30 pm ET, Friday, March 11, 2022

Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MSU +2, Wisconsin -2; Over/Under:  138 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MSU +2.5, Wisconsin -2.5; Over/Under:  138.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MSU +2.5, Wisconsin -2.5; Over/Under:  138.5 points

 

Michigan State Spartans:  22-1 (7th place, Big Ten)

Wisconsin Badgers:  24-6 (1st place, Big Ten)

 

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Michigan State Spartans:  3-2 last 5

Wisconsin Badgers:  4-1 last 5

 

 

 

MSU is coming into this game with a 22-11 record overall and they are 5-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have a record of 11-9 this season against conference opponents. Their last loss was against the Ohio State Buckeyes but they have gone on a 2 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Maryland Terrapins in both games including their last. Max Christie led the team in points in that game with 16 while Gabe Brown was next on the team with 13 points. AJ Hoggard off the bench led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Brown, Christie, and Malik Hall all led the team in rebounds with 6 each. They were 50% from the field, 47.4% from 3-point range, and 81.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 72.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.3 PPG against them. MSU has an ATS record of 16-16 this season and their O/U record is 17-14-1.

 

 

Wisconsin is coming into this game with a 24-6 record overall and they are 3-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have a record of 15-5 against conference opponents this season. They have won 5 of their last 6 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 5 game winning streak that they were on. Their 5 wins in that span were against the Indiana Hoosiers, the Michigan Wolverines, the Minnesota Golden Gophers, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights, and the Purdue Boilermakers while their loss came against the Nebraska Cornhuskers in their last game. Brad Davison led the team in points in that game with 20 while Tyler Wahl and Chris Vogt were both next on the team with 13 points each. Davison and Chucky Hepburn both led the team in assists in that game with 3 each while Wahl and Steven Crowl both led the team in rebounds with 7 each. They were 40% from the field, 21.7% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 71 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.5 PPG against them. Wisconsin has an ATS record of 17-13 this season and their O/U record is 18-11-1.

 

Wisconsin is coming into this game as a 2 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Wisconsin has been playing very well in their recent games, they are coming off of a bad loss to Nebraska at home in their last game of the season but that came right after a 5 game winning streak and they were likely not taking them seriously in that game. They have had some time to rest and reflect on that game now and they should be looking for a bounce back win here to start getting into playoff form. They are going up against a MSU team that has not been playing well in their recent games. MSU has won 2 of their last 3 games but both wins came against the same team in their last 2 games and even then they only won those games against Maryland by less than 5 points. MSU has been very inconsistent in their last few games of the season and they lost a lot of their games in that span, not being able to keep up with the better teams in the Big Ten. Wisconsin is much better here and they should be able to come out and get the win against MSU, kicking them out of this tournament.

 

Michigan State Wisconsin Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 11, 2022 (6:30 pm ET start time) is Wisconsin 83 MSU 74.

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Michigan State Spartans: 3-11 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 17-5 UNDER as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick. 70-44 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs.

Wisconsin Badgers: 16-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 23-18 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite. 21-14 UNDER off an upset loss as a home favorite.

 

 

Michigan State Spartans:  None.

Wisconsin Badgers:  J. Davis (G) Ques Fri - Ankle injury. L. Bowman II (G) Out indefinitely - Illness.

 

 

“I’m angry. I’m not happy with it. I’ve been in it long enough to know that a win is a win and it is, you know, advance and move on and all those great things. It’s been a problem and we haven’t solved the problem” - Tom Izzo after his team’s win against Maryland in the last round.

 

 

"He hits one Tuesday night that's highly contested off the glass and he has one wide open, he hasn't had one that wide open in practice for a long time, so that's part of it. We got a clean look at the rim, but there was a lot of other things that went into us not having success today." - Greg Gard on his team’s loss against Nebraska in the last game of their season.

 

 

 

M. Bingham 

G. Brown 

Max Christie 

J. Hauser 

T. Walker

 

S. Crowl 

Johnny Davis 

Brad Davison 

C. Hepburn 

T. Wahl

 

 

PPG: G. Brown (11.5)

APG: A. Hoggard (4.8)

RPG: M. Bingham Jr. (6)

 

PPG: J. Davis (20)

APG: C. Hepburn (2.3)

Reb/G: J. Davis (8.1)

 

Coaches:

Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (27th season)

Wisconsin Badgers: Greg Gard (7th season)