Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/13/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, February 13, 2026

Venue:  Kohl Center, Madison, WI 

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MSU -1.5, Wisconsin +1.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MSU -1.5, Wisconsin +1.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MSU -1.5, Wisconsin +1.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

Michigan State Spartans:  20-4 (10-3) (5th place, Big Ten)

Wisconsin Badgers:  17-7 (9-4) (6th place, Big Ten)

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Michigan State Spartans:  3-2  last 5

Wisconsin Badgers:  3-2  last 5

Michigan State is entering this game with a 20-4 record overall, a 10-3 record in conference games, and they are 4-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Illinois Fighting Illini in their last game. Jeremy Fears Jr. led the team in points in that game with 26 while Jaxon Kohler was next on the team with 11. Jeremy Fears Jr. led the team in assists with 15 in that game while Jaxon Kohler led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 43.3% from the field, 29.2% from 3-point range, and 87% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.6 PPG against them. Michigan State has an ATS record of 11-11-2 this season and their O/U record is 9-15.

Wisconsin is entering this game with a 17-7 record overall, a 9-4 conference record, and they are 12-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Illinois Fighting Illini in their last game. Nicholas Boyd led the team in points in that game with 25 while John Blackwell was next on the team with 24. Nicholas Boyd led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Nolan Winter led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 43.4% from the field, 44.4% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 75.8 PPG against them. Wisconsin has an ATS record of 13-11 this season and their O/U record is 14-10.

The current betting odds have Wisconsin listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Wisconsin has looked really good in their games this season with their 17-7 record overall and their 9-4 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big Ten. They have looked great on their home court too with their 12-2 home record this season. Meanwhile, Michigan State has looked great in their games this season with their 20-4 record overall and their 10-3 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big Ten. They have been a good road team too with their 4-2 road record this year. Michigan State is 3-2 in their last 5 games and they are off a win over Illinois in their last one. They have been rolling in the Big Ten this season and were starting to look like one of the best teams in the conference, but lately they haven't been at their best. They just took 2 losses in a row against Michigan and Minnesota, before bouncing back against Illinois in their last one, but they were completely outplayed in that game even though they got the win, and now their last 2 wins have gone to OT. They are starting to lose some steam now and that is going to be an issue with Wisconsin starting to get hot now and gaining a lot of momentum. Wisconsin is also 3-2 in their last 5 games and is off a win over Illinois in their last one, but lately they have been picking up some really good wins against ranked opponents. This isn't the same team that struggled to start the season and they tend to bring their best effort for these games against ranked opponents. The best way to place a bet here is on Wisconsin to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan State Wisconsin Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, February 13, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Wisconsin 81 Michigan State 78.

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Michigan State Spartans: 29-17 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 22-14 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 17-8 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season. 5-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs. 

Wisconsin Badgers: 4-8 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 4-8 ATS at home after scoring 85 points or more. 2-9 ATS at home versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 24-11 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5.

Michigan State Spartans:  D. Ugochukwu (G) Out - Foot. K. Glenn (F) Out - Knee.

Wisconsin Badgers:  None.

“I know how good they are. That’s a better team than we are right now. And especially going into this game. They had won 12 in a row, and we were limping. That’s a better team right now. And yet I thought we played better – and that’s why you play the games.” - Tom Izzo after his team’s win against Illinois in their last game. 

"You guys all saw this. I mean, what heck of a college basketball game between two really, really good teams. You know, I thought the job we did, you know, Illinois's got so many weapons and so many good players and do such a great job of putting you in precarious positions, defensively.” - Greg Gard after his team’s win against Illinois in their last game. 

C. Carr 

C. Cooper 

J. Fears 

J. Kohler 

D. Ugochukwu

A. Bieliauskas 

J. Blackwell 

N. Boyd 

A. Rohde 

N. Winter

PPG: Jeremy Fears Jr. (15.1)

APG: Jeremy Fears Jr. (9.1)

Reb/G: Jaxon Kohler (9.4)

PPG: Nick Boyd (20.2)

APG: Nick Boyd (3.7)

Reb/G: Nolan Winter (8.9)

Coaches:

Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (31st season)

Wisconsin Badgers: Greg Gard (11th season)