Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/21/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Jan 20, 2022
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, January 21, 2022
Venue:  Kohl Center, Madison, WI 
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MSU +4.5, Wisconsin -4.5; Over/Under:  139 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  MSU +4.5, Wisconsin -4.5; Over/Under:  139 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MSU +4.5, Wisconsin -4.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points
 

Season Record

Michigan State Spartans:  14-3 (3rd place, Big Ten)
Wisconsin Badgers:  15-2 (1st place, Big Ten)
 
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Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Michigan State Spartans:  4-1 last 5
Wisconsin Badgers:  5-0 last 5
 
 
 

Michigan State Spartans Analysis

MSU is coming into this game with a 14-3 record overall and they are 3-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 7th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 5-1 in their conference games this season. They have won 9 of their last 10 games but are coming off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 9 game winning streak that they were on. Their 9 wins in that span were against the Louisville Cardinals, the Toledo Rockets, the Minnesota Golden Gophers, the Penn State Nittany Lions, the Oakland Golden Grizzlies, the High Point Panthers, the Northwestern Wildcats, the Nebraska Cornhuskers, and Minnesota again while their loss came against Northwestern in their last game. Julius Marble led the team in points in that game off the bench with 18 while Malik Hall and Gabe Brown were both next on the team with 10 points each. Tyson Walker led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Brown led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 43.1% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.6 PPG against them. MSU has an ATS record of 9-8 this season and their O/U record is 8-8-1.
 
 

Wisconsin Badgers Analysis

Wisconsin is coming into this game with a 15-2 record overall and they are 8-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 6-1 in their conference games this season. Their last loss was against the Ohio State Buckeyes but they have gone on a 7 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Nicholls State Colonels, the Illinois State Redbirds, the Purdue Boilermakers, the Iowa Hawkeyes, the Maryland Terrapins, the Ohio State Buckeyes, and the Northwestern Wildcats in their last game. Jonathan Davis led the team in points in that game with 27 while Tyler Wahl and Chucky Hepburn were both next on the team with 14 points each. Wahl and Brad Davison both led the team in assists in that game with 4 each while Wahl led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 51.9% from the field, 52.9% from 3-point range, and 65.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 72.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.8 PPG against them. Wisconsin has an ATS record of 12-5 this season and their O/U record is 12-5.
 

 

Michigan State vs Wisconsin Prediction

MSU is coming into this game as a 4.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. MSU has been playing very well recently but they are coming off of a 2 point loss in their last game and they will be hungry to bounce back in this game. MSU has also won all 3 of their road games this season and they have been just as good as Wisconsin in their conference games. This should be a close game that either team could win by just a few points so the best bet in this game is to take the points with MSU here.
 
Michigan State Wisconsin Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, January 21, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is MSU 68 Wisconsin 66.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Michigan State Spartans: 6-11 O/U as an underdog. 28-34 O/U as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick. 18-28 O/U against conference opponents. 4-13 O/U in January games. 18-27 O/U after a conference game. 1-6 O/U after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games.
Wisconsin Badgers: 11-5 ATS in all games. 8-4 ATS as a favorite. 5-1 ATS against conference opponents. 24-14 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. 26-12 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 10-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins.
 

Key Injuries

 
Michigan State Spartans:  S. Izzo (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury. D. Smith (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury.
Wisconsin Badgers:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“Each player has a job to do. … Yes, they will not have the freedom to do what they want until they show the ability to do what they want that meets with taking care of the ball.” - Tom Izzo on his team after their loss against Northwestern.
 
 
"I think I did a really good job of not letting all of the bumps and bruises get to me. I think I did a good job of keeping my composure, and so did our team." - Johnny Davis after their win against Northwestern.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Michigan State Spartans
M. Bingham 
G. Brown 
Max Christie 
J. Hauser 
T. Walker
 
Wisconsin Badgers
S. Crowl 
Johnny Davis 
Brad Davison 
C. Hepburn 
T. Wahl
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Michigan State Spartans
PPG: G. Brown (14.2)
APG: T. Walker (5.2)
RPG: M. Bingham Jr. (7.1)
 
Wisconsin Badgers
PPG: J. Davis (22.1)
APG: J. Davis (2.5)
Reb/G: J. Davis (7.5)
 
Coaches:
Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (27th season)
Wisconsin Badgers: Greg Gard (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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