Michigan State Spartans vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/15/2024

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Friday, March 15, 2024

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MSU +6, Purdue -6; Over/Under:  143 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MSU +6, Purdue -6; Over/Under:  143 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MSU +6.5, Purdue -6.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points

Michigan State Spartans:  18-13 (10-10) (7th place, Big Ten)

Purdue Boilermakers:  28-3 (17-3) (1st place, Big Ten)

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Michigan State Spartans:  2-3  last 5

Purdue Boilermakers:  5-0  last 5

Michigan State is entering this game with a 19-13 record overall, a 10-10 record in conference games, and they are 2-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Minnesota Golden Gophers in their last game. AJ Hoggard led the team in points per game in that game with 17 while Tyson Walker was next on the team with 15. AJ Hoggard led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Jaden Akins led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 55.6% from the field, 62.5% from 3-point range, and 63.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 73.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.9 PPG against them. Michigan State has an ATS record of 17-14-1 this season and their O/U record is 14-18.

Purdue is entering this game with a 28-3 record overall, a 17-3 conference record, and they are 5-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Wisconsin Badgers in their last game. Zach Edey led the team in points in that game with 25 while Fletcher Loyer was next on the team with 15. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 10 in that game while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 49.1% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 81% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.2 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 16-13-2 this season and their O/U record is 21-10.

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked great in their games this season with their 28-3 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country and also ranked as one of the best in the nation. They have looked great in the Big Ten this year with their 17-3 conference record which led the way and they have also looked great in their neutral site games as they are 5-0 in those. Meanwhile, Michigan State hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 19-13 record overall and their 10-10 conference record which has them in the middle of the pack. They have also struggled in their games at neutral sites with their 2-2 record in those this season. Michigan State did manage to beat Minnesota in the last round after a bad start to that game, but they still haven't looked great in their games lately with their 2-3 record in their last 5 games. Purdue has been really hot coming into this one with their 5-0 record in their last 5 games and they are also rested for this game since MSU is on a back-to-back here. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan State Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 15, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 87 Michigan State 74.

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Michigan State Spartans: 13-6 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 11-5 ATS revenging a loss where the opponent scored 75 or more points. 11-6 UNDER revenging a loss where the opponent scored 75 or more points. 16-9 UNDER in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5. 

Purdue Boilermakers: 15-24 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 10-19 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins. 3-10 ATS after 2 straight games making 50% of their 3 point shots or better. 10-3 UNDER after 5 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better. 23-17 UNDER after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals.

Michigan State Spartans:  None.

Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

"Did I think we were in if we would have lost? I thought we had a good chance, because of all the things that I hate but that everybody uses (metrics). But did I feel comfortable? No. But I didn't use that, as there was no breaking the 25-year thing, that wasn't even mentioned. It was, 'Let's go win a tournament. Let's go win some games. Let's get better, because it doesn't matter if we don't get better whether we get in or not.'” - Tom Izzo after his team’s win against Minnesota in their last game on Thursday.

“It's real cool. I had all my friends here from Toronto for like the first time. It's my last game in Mackey.” - Zach Edey after their win against Wisconsin in their last game of the regular season on Sunday.

J. Akins 

M. Hall 

A. Hoggard 

M. Sissoko 

T. Walker

Z. Edey 

L. Jones 

T. Kaufman-Renn 

F. Loyer 

B. Smith

PPG: T. Walker (18.4)

APG: A. Hoggard (5)

Reb/G: M. Hall (5.7)

PPG: Z. Edey (24.2)

APG: B. Smith (7.2)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (11.7)

Coaches:

Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (29th season)

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (19th season)