Michigan State Spartans vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/12/2022

Game Time: 3:25 pm ET, Saturday, March 12, 2022

Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MSU +6, Purdue -6; Over/Under:  142.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MSU +5.5, Purdue -5.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MSU +5.5, Purdue -5.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points

 

Michigan State Spartans:  22-11 (7th place, Big Ten)

Purdue Boilermakers:  26-6 (3rd place, Big Ten)

 

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Michigan State Spartans:  3-2 last 5

Purdue Boilermakers:  3-2 last 5

 

 

 

MSU is coming into this game with a 22-11 record overall and they are 5-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have a record of 11-9 this season against conference opponents. Their last loss was against the Ohio State Buckeyes but they have gone on a 3 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Maryland Terrapins twice, and the Wisconsin Badgers in their last game. Marcus Bingham Jr. led the team in points in that game with 19 while Tyson Walker was next on the team with 11 points. Walker led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Bingham Jr. led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 48.1% from the field, 9.1% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 72.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.4 PPG against them. MSU has an ATS record of 17-16 this season and their O/U record is 17-15-1.

 

 

Purdue is coming into this game with a 26-6 record overall and they are 5-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have a record of 14-6 against conference opponents this season. Their last loss was against the Wisconsin Badgers but they have gone on a 2 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Indiana Hoosiers and the Penn State Nittany Lions in their last game. Jaden Ivey led the team in points in that game with 17 while Zach Edey was next on the team with 15 points. Trevion Williams led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Ivey led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 50% from the field, 35.7% from 3-point range, and 70.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 80.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 13-18-1 this season and their O/U record is 17-15.

 

MSU is coming into this game as a 6 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. MSU did not finish the season off playing well but they have been heating up in their last few games and have really made a run in this tourney. They have won their last 3 straight games, 2 of them in this tourney, and they are even coming off of an upset against Wisconsin in their last game. MSU has been winning in close games but they are sticking around still and at no point in their games have they looked like they were down and out. They are going up against a Purdue side that has had a much better season than MSU has had but Purdue has not been playing well in their last few games. They actually ended their season with a win at home by 2 points against Indiana but their 2 games prior to that one were both losses to Wisconsin and MSU. Even in their last game which was also their first game of this tourney, Purdue was a 10 point favorite over PSU and only won by 8 points. MSU has been rolling in this tourney and they have been gaining a lot of steam in their games. They even beat Purdue 2 weeks ago so they are going to have a lot of confidence coming into this game. MSU will fight hard here as they need a win to better their chances of going to the NCAA tourney while Purdue does not really need a win as they are one of the best in the nation currently. MSU has the potential to upset Purdue here again but even if they do not, Purdue has not been playing that well or winning by a lot of points in their games. MSU will cover the spread here.

 

Michigan State Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 12, 2022 (3:25 pm ET start time) is MSU 67 Purdue 63.

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Michigan State Spartans: 34-27 UNDER against conference opponents. 99-64 UNDER when playing only their 3rd game in a week. 15-7 UNDER in tournament semi-final games.

Purdue Boilermakers: 6-20 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 24-33 ATS against conference opponents. 15-7 UNDER after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals.

 

 

Michigan State Spartans:  None.

Purdue Boilermakers:  B. Waddell (F) out for season - Knee injury.

 

 

“It’s the best half I've seen. I’d have to think about the game, but I wasn't really doing somersaults back to the locker room in the first half, but the second half, I thought we went to him and he did a really good job. He did a pretty good job defensively.” - Tom Izzo on his team’s win against Wisconsin.

 

 

“For him to be productive, you have to tip your hat to him. We don’t win the game without him.” - Matt Painter on Newman in their win against PSU in the last round.

 

 

 

M. Bingham 

G. Brown 

Max Christie 

J. Hauser 

T. Walker

 

Z. Edey 

C. Furst 

J. Ivey 

Sasha Stefanovic 

I. Thompson

 

 

PPG: G. Brown (11.5)

APG: A. Hoggard (4.8)

RPG: M. Bingham Jr. (6)

 

PPG: J. Ivey (17.2)

APG: S. Stefanovic (3.4)

Reb/G:  Z. Edey (7.6)

 

Coaches:

Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (27th season)

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (17th season)