Michigan State Spartans vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/15/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, Feb 14, 2022
Game Time: 6:30 pm ET, Tuesday, February 15, 2022
Venue:  Bryce Jordan Center, State College, PA
Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MSU -3, PSU +3; Over/Under:  130 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  MSU -3.5, PSU +3.5; Over/Under:  129.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MSU -3.5, PSU +3.5; Over/Under:  129.5 points
 

Season Record

Michigan State Spartans:  18-6 (4th place, Big Ten)
Penn State Nittany Lions:  9-12 (11th place, Big Ten)
 
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Michigan State Spartans vs Penn State Nittany Lions Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Michigan State Spartans:  3-2 last 5
Penn State Nittany Lions:  1-4 last 5
 
 
 

Michigan State Spartans Analysis

MSU is coming into this game with an 18-6 record overall and they are 5-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 14th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 9-4 in their conference games this season. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. Their 2 losses in that span were against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and the Wisconsin Badgers while their win came against the Indiana Hoosiers in their last game. Malik Hall led the team in points in that game off the bench with 18 while Tyson Walker was next on the team with 15 points. AJ Hoggard led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Julius Marble led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 43.1% from the field, 35% from 3-point range, and 89.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 73.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.3 PPG against them. MSU has an ATS record of 13-11 this season and their O/U record is 12-11-1.
 
 

Penn State Nittany Lions Analysis

PSU is coming into this game with a 9-12 record overall and they are 7-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 14th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 4-9 in their conference games this season. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Iowa Hawkeyes while their 6 losses in that span came against the Ohio State Buckeyes, the Iowa Hawkeyes, the Indiana Hoosiers, the Wisconsin Badgers, the Michigan Wolverines, and the Minnesota Golden Gophers in their last game. Sam Sessoms led the team in points in that game off the bench with 18 while Seth Lundy was next on the team with 16 points. Jalen Pickett led the team in assists in that game with 6 while John Harrar led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 54.7% from the field, 53.3% from 3-point range, and 57.1% from the free throw line with their shots this season. Their offense is averaging 65.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.9 PPG against them. PSU has an ATS record of 11-10 this season and their O/U record is 9-12.
 

 

Michigan State vs Penn State Prediction

MSU is coming into this game off of a win in their last game but they had lost 2 straight prior to that win. They have been good on the road this season with a 5-2 record and they have been playing well against conference opponents as well with a 9-4 record there. Recently though, they have struggled on the road a little, losing 2 of their last 3 games and their 1 win in that span only came by 2 points. They are going up against a PSU team that has not been doing well against conference opponents this season with a 4-9 record but they have been alright at home with a 7-4 record in those games. PSU has lost 3 straight games coming into this one and they have lost 6 of their last 7 games. They have been playing a lot better in their last 4 games though, with 1 in that span and their other 3 losses were all within 6 points, with 2 of those games actually finishing within 2 points. MSU has struggled on the road recently while PSU has been playing much better in general and will likely put up a good fight here at home. MSU should still get the win here but this could end up being a very close game like the last few has been for PSU. MSU will win this game by a few points.
 
Michigan State Penn State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 15, 2022 (6:30 pm ET start time) is MSU 68 PSU 65.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Michigan State Spartans: 12-17 ATS in road games. 12-7 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 31-22 UNDER against conference opponents.
Penn State Nittany Lions: 22-15 ATS as an underdog. 22-9 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 30-11 UNDER after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better.
 

Key Injuries

 
Michigan State Spartans:  None.
Penn State Nittany Lions:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I think we responded really well with being tough. We just came out from the beginning with toughness. That was one of our keys to the game, being tough. So I think we did that to a tee tonight, and it kind of helped." - A.J. Hoggard on their win against Indiana.
 
 
“He played great and he made those shots that we were willing to give him. The way our defense is set up, you try to give up twos, and you try to give up long twos. ... Eric played great. On the glass, the way he rebounded, those shots that he made, scoring in the post, he did a little bit of everything. Hats off to him. We’ve got a quick turnaround, and we’ve gotta make a decision of how we guard him the next time we play him.” - Micah Shrewsberry on his team’s defense in their loss against Minnesota.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Michigan State Spartans
M. Bingham 
G. Brown 
Max Christie 
J. Hauser 
T. Walker
 
Penn State Nittany Lions
M. Dread 
J. Harrar 
Seth Lundy 
J. Pickett 
S. Sessoms
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Michigan State Spartans
PPG: G. Brown (12.3)
APG: A. Hoggard (5)
RPG: M. Bingham Jr. (6.3)
 
Penn State Nittany Lions
PPG: S. Lundy (12.9)
APG: J. Pickett (4.1)
Reb/G: J. Harrar (9.4)
 
Coaches:
Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (27th season)
Penn State Nittany Lions: Micah Shrewsberry (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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