Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/21/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, February 21, 2025

Venue:  Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MSU +3.5, Michigan -3.5; Over/Under:  152.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MSU +3.5, Michigan -3.5; Over/Under:  152.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MSU +3.5, Michigan -3.5; Over/Under:  152.5 points

Michigan State Spartans:  21-5 (12-3) (2nd place, Big Ten)

Michigan Wolverines:  20-5 (12-2) (1st place, Big Ten)

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Michigan State Spartans:  3-2  last 5

Michigan Wolverines:  5-0  last 5

Michigan State is entering this game with a 21-5 record overall, a 12-3 record in conference games, and they are 5-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Purdue Boilermakers in their last game. Jase Richardson led the team in points per game in that game with 12 while Frankie Fidler was next on the team with 11. Jeremy Fears Jr. and Tre Holloman each led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Jaxon Kohler, Szymon Zapala, and Coen Carr each led the team in rebounds with 4. They were 58.3% from the field, 30.8% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.4 PPG against them. Michigan State has an ATS record of 16-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 9-17.

Michigan is entering this game with a 20-5 record overall, a 12-2 conference record, and they are 12-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Ohio State Buckeyes in their last game. Vladislav Goldin led the team in points in that game with 20 while Daniel Wolf was next on the team with 17. Daniel Wolf led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Daniel Wolf led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 48.5% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 76.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71 PPG against them. Michigan has an ATS record of 12-13 this season and their O/U record is 14-11.

The current betting odds have Michigan listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan has looked great in their games this season with their 20-5 record overall and their 12-2 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten. They have looked great on their home court too with their 12-0 home record. Meanwhile, Michigan State has looked really good in their games this season with their 21-5 record overall and their 12-3 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have been a great road team this season with their 5-2 road record too. They are coming off a big win over Purdue in their last one and they have 2 wins in a row now, but they haven't been at their best lately as they are 3-2 in their last 5 games. They are 5-2 in their road games this season and won their last one against Illinois, but both of those road losses have also come in their last 3 road games. This won't be an easy road game for them since Michigan is the only undefeated home team left in the conference, and they have a lot more momentum on their side with 6 wins in a row now. They are also coming off a road win over Ohio State in their last one so they are going to be feeling great about themselves coming into this one and they will carry that momentum into this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan State Michigan Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, February 21, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Michigan 78 Michigan State 72.

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Michigan State Spartans: 9-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders. 5-1 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. 24-13 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less. 9-5 OVER after 3 or more consecutive unders. 17-8 1H OVER in road games. 10-3 1H OVER as a road underdog or pick.

Michigan Wolverines: 10-18 ATS after playing a road game. 1-9 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% of their attempts or less. 4-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 27-17 OVER in all home games. 21-12 OVER when the total is 150 to 159.5. 9-1 OVER off a road win.

Michigan State Spartans:  C. Walton (F) Out - Redshirt.

Michigan Wolverines:  S. Walters (F) Questionable - Back.

"Well, these teams take a lot out of you. It was a hell of a game. It was like [Gene] Keady and [Jud] Heathcote. I mean, it was -- both teams only got 48 shots up. They shot 51 [percent], we shot 58 [percent], which is odd. There weren't a lot of rebounds to be had when you shoot that well. Uncharacteristically, we shot poor from the free-throw line, but 20 assists on 28 baskets, eight turnovers, those are ingredients that help you win games.” - Tom Izzo after his team’s win against Purdue in their last game. 

“Every game I watched, it was obvious the amount of intensity and passion for the game. And it was typically two really good basketball teams, going tooth and nail. It seemed like it was always a nationally televised game, either during the week or on a Saturday or Sunday. If it was on, I was usually going to try to check it out.” - Dusty May on this upcoming game against Michigan State.

J. Akins 

J. Fears 

T. Holloman 

J. Kohler 

S. Zapala

N. Burnett 

T. Donaldson 

R. Gayle 

V. Goldin 

D. Wolf

PPG: J. Akins (13.1)

APG: J. Fears (6)

Reb/G: J. Kohler (7.7)

PPG: V. Goldin (15.7)

APG: T. Donaldson (4)

Reb/G: D. Wolf (10)

Coaches:

Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (30th season)

Michigan Wolverines: Dusty May (1st season)