Michigan State Spartans vs Maryland Terrapins Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/26/2025

Game Time: 6:30 pm ET, Wednesday, February 26, 2025

Venue:  XFINITY Center, College Park, MD

Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MSU +3.5, Maryland -3.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MSU +3.5, Maryland -3.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MSU +3.5, Maryland -3.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Michigan State Spartans:  22-5 (13-3) (1st place, Big Ten)

Maryland Terrapins:  21-6 (11-5) (3rd place, Big Ten)

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Michigan State Spartans:  4-1  last 5

Maryland Terrapins:  4-1  last 5

Michigan State is entering this game with a 22-5 record overall, a 13-3 record in conference games, and they are 6-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Michigan Wolverines in their last game. Jase Richardson led the team in points per game in that game with 21 while Tre Holloman was next on the team with 18. Tre Holloman led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Carson Cooper led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 45.9% from the field, 40.9% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.2 PPG against them. Michigan State has an ATS record of 17-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 9-18.

Maryland is entering this game with a 21-6 record overall, an 11-5 conference record, and they are 16-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the USC Trojans in their last game. Rodney Rice led the team in points in that game with 22 while Ja'Kobi Gillespie was next on the team with 20. Ja'Kobi Gillespie led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Derik Queen led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 49.2% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.3 PPG against them. Maryland has an ATS record of 14-12-1 this season and their O/U record is 18-9.

The current betting odds have Michigan State listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan State has looked really good in their games this season with their 22-5 record overall and their 13-3 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten. They have been a good road team too with their 6-2 road record this season. Meanwhile, Maryland has looked good in their games this season with their 21-6 record overall and their 11-5 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have also looked great on their home court with their 16-1 home record which is one of the best in the nation. Both teams have looked good lately as they are both 4-1 in their last 5 games, Michigan State winning 3 games in a row and Maryland winning 4 games in a row now, but Maryland has just been emerging lately as a dominant force in the conference while Michigan State has been dominant all year. Maryland is coming off a double digit win over USC in their last one and their last 2 wins have both been by double digits, but they have also been rolling over a lot of teams lately due to a weaker schedule. Michigan State has had a much tougher schedule lately and have still come out on top of the Big Ten, even pulling off an upset road win over Michigan in their last one. Maryland has had a lot of buzz around their team lately, but Michigan State will bring their best effort to shut Maryland down here and show why they are the best team in the Big Ten. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan State to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan State Maryland Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, February 26, 2025 (6:30 pm ET start time) is Michigan State 78 Maryland 74.

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Michigan State Spartans: 10-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders. 13-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% of their attempts or more. 25-13 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less. 9-5 UNDER when the total is 150 to 159.5. 24-17 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 

Maryland Terrapins: 14-21 ATS after a win by 15 points or more. 2-7 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest. 17-30 1H ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 10-5 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 26-13 UNDER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less.

Michigan State Spartans:  C. Walton (F) Out - Redshirt.

Maryland Terrapins:  J. Long (G) Questionable - Knee. C. Stephens (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Pierce (C) Out - Eye.

“Most coaches I talked to in the league say (the Terrapins) may be the most talented starting five in our league. I'm expecting them to be aggressive, I'm expecting the place to be rocking, and I'm expecting them to come at us. And that's the way we're gonna prepare.” - Tom Izzo on his team’s game against Maryland on Wednesday.

“Ja’Kobi is one of the best guards in this league. I think ever since the Washington game, for the most part, he’s starting to really figure out when to push it, when not to.” - Kevin Willard on Ja’Kobi Gillespie.

J. Akins 

J. Fears 

T. Holloman 

J. Kohler 

S. Zapala

J. Gillespie 

S. Miguel 

D. Queen 

J. Reese 

R. Rice

PPG: J. Akins (13)

APG: J. Fears (5.8)

Reb/G: J. Kohler (7.6)

PPG: D. Queen (15.9)

APG: J. Gillespie (4.8)

Reb/G: J. Reese (9.3)

Coaches:

Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (30th season)

Maryland Terrapins: Kevin Willard (3rd season)