Michigan State Spartans vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/23/2023

Game Time: 6:30 pm ET, Thursday, March 23, 2023

Venue:  Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Where to Watch:  TBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MSU -2, KSU +2; Over/Under:  137.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MSU -2, KSU +2; Over/Under:  137.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MSU -1.5, KSU +1.5; Over/Under:  137.5 points

Michigan State Spartans:  21-12 (11-8) (4th place, Big Ten)

Kansas State Wildcats:  25-9 (11-7) (3rd place, Big 12)

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Michigan State Spartans:  4-1  last 5

Kansas State Wildcats:  3-2  last 5

Michigan State is coming into this game with a 21-12 record overall and they are 4-4 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the USC Trojans and the Marquette Golden Eagles in their last game. Tyson Walker led the team in points in that game with 23 while Joey Hauser was next on the team with 14 points. AJ Hoggard led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Joey Hauser and Mady Sissoko each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 44.4% from the field, 12.5% from 3-point range, and 82.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 70.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67 PPG against them. Michigan State has an ATS record of 17-16 this season and their O/U record is 16-17.

Kansas State is coming into this game with a 25-9 record overall and they are 5-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Montana State Bobcats and the Kentucky Wildcats in their last game. Markquis Nowell led the team in points in that game with 27 while Keyontae Johnson was next on the team with 13 points. Markquis Nowell led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Nae'Qwan Tomlin led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 48.1% from the field, 23.8% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.9 PPG against them. Kansas State has an ATS record of 23-11 this season and their O/U record is 18-16.

The current betting odds have Michigan State listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan State wasn't the best team during the regular season but they still finished with a 21-12 record overall. They are only 4-4 in their neutral site games this year but they have covered the spread in both of their games played in this NCAA Tournament and they have looked really good in those games too. Kansas State had a much better season overall with their 25-9 record and they were also very good on neutral sites with their 5-1 record in those games, but Kansas State has also had an easier path into this round while Tom Izzo has a very good record in the month of March and will have his team ready for this game after a few days of rest. Michigan State has been playing like the better team in this tournament and Kansas State did struggle to even win their last game against Kentucky while Michigan State was pretty much in control of both of their games and against better teams too. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan State to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan State Kansas State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, March 23, 2023 (6:30 pm ET start time) is MSU 79 KSU 71.

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Michigan State Spartans: 14-20 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins. 11-3 OVER after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better. 13-7 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.

Kansas State Wildcats: 22-11 ATS in all games. 9-2 ATS in all neutral court games. 11-6 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins.

Michigan State Spartans:  None.

Kansas State Wildcats:  J. Colbert (C) out for season - Redshirt. A. Thomas (G) out for season - Redshirt. T. Manning (F) out for season - Redshirt.

“I’ve been in Elite Eight games; I’ve been in the Final Four — that was as intense and tough a game as I’ve been in my career. And a lot of credit goes to Marquette and (coach) Shaka (Smart) and how they played, too.” - Tom Izzo after his team’s win against Marquette in their last game. 

“Dudes. We got dudes. That's what it takes. I mean, people get all caught up in the coaching and all of that stuff. It's dudes.” - Jerome Tang after his team’s win against Kentucky in their last game. 

J. Akins 

J. Hauser 

A. Hoggard 

M. Sissoko 

T. Walker

C. Carter 

K. Johnson 

D. N'Guessan 

M. Nowell 

N. Tomlin

PPG: T. Walker (14.8)

APG: A. Hoggard (6.1)

Reb/G: J. Hauser (7)

PPG: K. Johnson (17.8)

APG: M. Nowell (7.7)

Reb/G: K. Johnson (7)

Coaches:

Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (28th season)

Kansas State Wildcats: Jerome Tang (1st season)