Michigan State Spartans vs Illinois Fighting Illini Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/05/2022

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Nov 02, 2022
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 5, 2022
Venue:  University of Illinois Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL
Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MSU +16, Illinois -16; Over/Under:  41.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  MSU +16, Illinois -16; Over/Under:  41.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MSU +16, Illinois -16; Over/Under:  42 points
 

Season Record

Michigan State Spartans:  3-5 (1-4) (7th place, Big Ten East)
Illinois Fighting Illini:  7-1 (4-1) (1st place, Big Ten West)
 
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Recent Form
Michigan State Spartans:  lost their last game on the road against the Michigan Wolverines 29-7.
Illinois Fighting Illini:  won their last game on the road against the Nebraska Cornhuskers 26-9.

 

Michigan State Spartans vs Illinois Fighting Illini Preview and Analysis

 
Michigan State is entering this game with a 3-5 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th road game of the season here as they are 0-3 in their road games this year. This will also be their 6th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 1-4. They lost against the Michigan Wolverines in their last game on the road 29-7. Payton Thorne started that game at QB and he completed 17/30 passes for 215 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Elijah Collins led the team in rushing with 22 yards on 7 rushing attempts. Keon Coleman led the team in receiving with 155 yards and 1 TD on 5 receptions. Kendell Brooks led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. No one on the defense recorded a sack for them while no one on the defense came away with an interception in that one.
 
 
 
Illinois is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th home game of the season as they are 5-0 in their home games this year. This will also be the 6th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 4-1. They won against the Nebraska Cornhuskers in their last game on the road 26-9. Tommy Devito started that game at QB and he completed 20/22 passes for 179 yards and 2 touchdowns. Chase Brown led the team in rushing with 149 yards and 1 TD on 32 carries. Isaiah Williams led the team in receiving with 93 yards and 1 TD on 9 receptions. Sydney Brown led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Jer'Zhan Newton and Kenenna Odeluga each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Sydney Brown came away with 2 interceptions and Jartavius Martin also had 1 interception for them in that one.

 

Michigan State vs Illinois Prediction

The current betting odds have Illinois listed as a 16 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Illinois is having a great season as they are leading their division in the Big Ten with the best record and only have 1 loss all season. Their defense has been very good as they don't really give up many points in their games and MSU is going to struggle to score here since their offense hasn't been great in their games. They only scored 7 points on Michigan last week and now they are going to be missing quite a few players to suspension due to an altercation after that game. Illinois has a very strong team and they are not going to let MSU put up many points on their own field here. Illinois will be able to move the ball on this defense that is going to be missing some players and they will keep adding onto the score and pulling away while MSU struggles to even move the ball on this defense. The best way to place a bet here is on Illinois to cover the spread in this game.
 
Michigan State Illinois Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 5, 2022 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Illinois 31 MSU 10.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Michigan State Spartans Illinois Fighting Illini prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Michigan State Spartans: 13-27 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points. 42-68 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 8-2 UNDER as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points.
Illinois Fighting Illini: 8-2 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders. 17-9 UNDER in all games. 13-7 UNDER against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Michigan State Spartans:  I. Brown (LB) Out indefinitely - Suspension. K. Crump (CB) Out indefinitely - Suspension. Z. Young (DE) Out indefinitely - Suspension.
Illinois Fighting Illini:  E. Holmes (LB) out for season - Knee. S. Miller (WR) out for season - Undisclosed. D. Leary (QB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We need to play a full 60 minutes. We didn't do that. We're very disappointed." - Mel Tucker after his team’s loss against Michigan in their last game.
 
 
"Our guys are locked into the moment. When you get better and better, everyone wants to talk about where you're going to end up. What we need to concentrate on is the journey, and to get to where we are today has been probably one of the most enjoyable journeys I've ever been on in my life." - Bret Bielema after his team’s win against Nebraska in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Michigan State Spartans
WR Reed, Jayden
WR Coleman, Keon
WR Mosley, Tre 
TE Hunt, Tyler
QB Thorne, Payton
RB Berger, Jalen 
 
Illinois Fighting Illini
WR Hightower, Brian
WR Bryant, Pat
WR Williams, Isaiah 
TE Reiman, Tip 
QB DeVito, Tommy 
RB Brown, Chase 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Michigan State Spartans
Passing: P. Thorne (1714)
Rushing: J. Berger (384)
Receiving: K. Coleman (548)
Touchdowns: K. Coleman (6) 
 
Illinois Fighting Illini
Passing: T. Devito (1591)
Rushing: C. Brown (1208)
Receiving: I. Williams (439)
Touchdowns: C. Brown (8)
 
Coaches:
Michigan State Spartans: Mel Tucker (3rd season)
Illinois Fighting Illini: Bret Bielema (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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