Michigan State Spartans vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/14/2023

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, November 14, 2023

Venue:  United Center, Chicago, IL

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MSU +3, Duke -3; Over/Under:  144.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MSU +3, Duke -3; Over/Under:  144.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MSU +3, Duke -3; Over/Under:  144.5 points

Michigan State Spartans:  1-1 (0-0) (12th place, Big Ten)

Duke Blue Devils:  1-1 (0-0) (14th place, ACC)

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Michigan State Spartans:  1-1  last 2

Duke Blue Devils:  1-1  last 2

Michigan State is entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they are 0-0 in their road games this season but are at a neutral site for this game. They are coming off a win against the Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles in their last game. Tyson Walker led the team in points per game in that game with 14 while Jaden Akins was next on the team with 13. Jeremy Fears Jr. and Tre Holloman each led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Mady Sissoko led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 48.1% from the field, 9.1% from 3-point range, and 82.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65 PPG against them. Michigan State has an ATS record of 0-2 this season and their O/U record is 1-1.

Duke is entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they are 1-1 in their home games this season but are at a neutral site for this game. They are coming off a loss against the Arizona Wildcats in their last game. Kyle Filipowski led the team in points in that game with 25 while Jeremy Roach was next on the team with 17. Tyrese Proctor and Jared McCain each led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Kyle Filipowski led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 43.1% from the field, 34.8% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66 PPG against them. Duke has an ATS record of 1-1 this season and their O/U record is 1-1.

The current betting odds have Duke listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams have already suffered upsets this season as both teams enter this game with 1-1 records despite being ranked inside the top 4 in the country. Michigan State lost their season opener at home to James Madison and managed to bounce back in their last game against Southern Indiana but didn't look too dominant in their win around 20 points. Meanwhile, Duke came out strong in their 1st game of the season but they are coming off a loss at home in their last game against Arizona, but their loss also looks a lot better since Arizona is a ranked team. Michigan State has a much worse loss on their resume already, losing to JMU at home, and Duke is coming off their loss in their last game so they will be looking to bounce back as they do have the better team too. The best way to place a bet here is on Duke to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan State Duke Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, November 14, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Duke 82 MSU 72.

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Michigan State Spartans: 4-12 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. 27-33 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite. 10-4 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 24-16 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 13-4 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite.

Duke Blue Devils: 32-20 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick. 21-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders. 92-59 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite. 17-7 UNDER as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick. 15-8 UNDER in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5.

Michigan State Spartans:  J. Kohler (F) Late Dec - Foot.

Duke Blue Devils:  J. Schutt (G) out for season - Redshirt.

“There were some bright spots. Jaden is a lot better player than he played. He knows it, and I know it. He did bounce back.” - Tom Izzo after his team’s win against Southern Indiana in their last game on Thursday.

“Small or big or whatever, it’s still about effort. It’s still about blocking out and pursuing the ball. We’re going to find a few times tonight when we stood and watched.” - Jon Scheyer after his team’s loss against Arizona in their last game on Friday.

J. Akins 

M. Hall 

A. Hoggard 

M. Sissoko 

T. Walker

K. Filipowski 

J. McCain 

T. Proctor 

J. Roach 

R. Young

PPG: T. Walker (24.5)

APG: T. Holloman (4)

Reb/G: J. Akins (9)

PPG: K. Filipowski (25)

APG: T. Proctor (6.5)

Reb/G: K. Filipowski (7.5)

Coaches:

Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (29th season)

Duke Blue Devils: Jon Scheyer (2nd season)