Michigan State Spartans vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/20/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 5:15 pm ET, Sunday, March 20, 2022
Venue:  Bon Secours Wellness Arena, Greenville, SC
Where to Watch:  CBS

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MSU +6.5, Duke -6.5; Over/Under:  145 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  MSU +6.5, Duke -6.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MSU +6.5, Duke -6.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points
 

Season Record

Michigan State Spartans:  23-12 (7th place, Big Ten)
Duke Blue Devils:  29-6 (1st place, ACC)
 
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Michigan State Spartans vs Duke Blue Devils Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Michigan State Spartans:  4-1 last 5
Duke Blue Devils:  3-2 last 5
 
 
 

Michigan State Spartans Analysis

MSU is coming into this game with a 23-12 record overall and they are 6-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Purdue Boilermakers while their 4 wins in that span came against the Maryland Terrapins twice, the Wisconsin Badgers, and the Davidson Wildcats in their last game. Joey Hauser led the team in points in that game with 27 while AJ Hoggard was next on the team with 14 points. Gabe Brown and Tyson Walker off the bench both led the team in assists in that game with 3 each while Hauser and Marcus Bingham Jr. both led the team in rebounds with 8 each. They were 47.5% from the field, 26.9% from 3-point range, and 73.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 72.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.6 PPG against them. MSU has an ATS record of 19-16 this season and their O/U record is 19-15-1.
 
 

Duke Blue Devils Analysis

Duke is coming into this game with a 29-6 record overall and they are 5-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Virginia Tech Hokies while their 3 wins in that span came against the Syracuse Orange, the Miami Hurricanes, and the CSUF Titans in their last game. Paolo Banchero led the team in points in that game with 17 while Mark Williams was next on the team with 15 points. Wendell Moore led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Banchero led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 51.7% from the field, 40.9% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 80.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67 PPG against them. Duke has an ATS record of 17-16-2 this season and their O/U record is 19-15-1.
 

 

Michigan State vs Duke Prediction

Duke is coming into this game as a 6.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. MSU has not been playing very well coming into this game. They have not been beating many quality opponents in their recent games and the ones they do get the win over have been by just a few points. Even in round 1 of this tourney, MSU took on a much weaker team that plays in a lesser conference than they do and they only escaped that game with a 1 point win against Davidson. They are going up against a Duke team that has had their own struggles recently but they have still been playing very well in a lot of their games and have won most of their games by double digits this season. They are coming off of a double digit win in round 1 and with this being coach K's final tourney run with Duke, the players should be fired up here to make a very deep run. Duke will have a lot more confidence in this game and they will have their pride behind them as well. They are a much better team and with the way MSU has been playing in recent games, they will not be able to keep up with Duke here. Duke will cover the spread in this game.
 
Michigan State Duke Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, March 20, 2022 (5:15 pm ET start time) is Duke 87 MSU 72.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Michigan State Spartans: 75-42 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs. 9-2 ATS after 2 straight games committing 8 or less turnovers. 8-2 OVER after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers.
Duke Blue Devils: 4-12 ATS after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. 57-32 OVER in all games. 51-30 OVER as a favorite.
 

Key Injuries

 
Michigan State Spartans:  T. Walker (G) Prob Fri - Ankle injury.
Duke Blue Devils:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I thought we had a really good plan offensively, so I felt really confident in that. Offensively, I've been struggling this season, just trying to let it fly and not worry about missing shots. So tonight I really just let that happen, and good things happened." - Joey Hauser after their win against Davidson in round 1.
 
 
“The main thing is just to try to be who we've been most of the season but at the highest level. Just to look at it, it's not just one game at a time, it's one championship at a time because, if you don't win it, you're not going to win a championship.” - Coach K on his team’s win against CSUF in round 1.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Michigan State Spartans
M. Bingham 
G. Brown 
Max Christie 
J. Hauser 
T. Walker
 
Duke Blue Devils
P. Banchero 
T. Keels 
W. Moore 
J. Roach 
M. Williams
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Michigan State Spartans
PPG: G. Brown (11.5)
APG: A. Hoggard (4.8)
RPG: M. Bingham Jr. (6)
 
Duke Blue Devils
PPG: P. Banchero (17.1)
APG: W. Moore Jr. (4.6)
RPG: P. Banchero (7.7)
 
Coaches:
Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (27th season)
Duke Blue Devils: Mike Krzyzewski (42nd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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