Michigan State Spartans vs Arizona Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/23/2023

Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Thursday, November 23, 2023

Venue:  Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA 

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MSU +4, Arizona -4; Over/Under:  145.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MSU +4, Arizona -4; Over/Under:  145.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MSU +4, Arizona -4; Over/Under:  145.5 points

Michigan State Spartans:  3-2 (0-0) (13th place, Big Ten)

Arizona Wildcats:  5-0 (0-0) (1st place, Pac-12)

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Michigan State Spartans:  3-2  last 5

Arizona Wildcats:  5-0  last 5

Michigan State is entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they are 0-0 in their road games this season but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They are coming off a win against the Alcorn State Braves in their last game. Tre Holloman led the team in points per game in that game with 17 while Jaden Akins was next on the team with 13. Tre Holloman and Jeremy Fears Jr. each led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Mady Sissoko led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 52.6% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 52.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 61.4 PPG against them. Michigan State has an ATS record of 2-3 this season and their O/U record is 1-4.

Arizona is entering this game with a 5-0 record overall and they are 4-0 in their home games this season but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They are coming off a win against the Texas-Arlington Mavericks in their last game. Kylan Boswell and Oumar Ballo each led the team in points in that game with 15 while Pelle Larsson and Jaden Bradley each were next on the team with 13. Caleb Love led the team in assists with 6 in that game while KJ Lewis led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 52.1% from the field, 45.8% from 3-point range, and 93.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 99.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 63 PPG against them. Arizona has an ATS record of 5-0 this season and their O/U record is 2-3.

The current betting odds have Arizona listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Arizona has looked really good this season with their 5-0 record overall. They have also been overperforming the spread as they are 5-0 ATS this year and have already moved up a ton from their initial preseason ranking. They are now ranked 3rd in the land and will be looking for another nice win against another ranked opponent here to add to their resume. Michigan State hasn't looked great this season though with their 3-2 record overall. They lost against Duke which is not a bad loss but they also have a home loss against James Madison too. They have struggled a lot more in their games against better teams and now they are getting one of the best teams in the country at a neutral site in this game. Michigan State has already been dropping in the rankings from what they were preseason and their team just doesn't have the talent this year to keep up with these better teams. Arizona will continue rolling in this game and add another ranked win to their resume as they look to prove themselves as the best. The best way to place a bet here is on Arizona to cover the spread in this game.

Michigan State Arizona Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, November 23, 2023 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Arizona 84 Michigan State 74.

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Michigan State Spartans: 32-21 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick. 33-17 ATS after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more. 13-5 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 8-3 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 

Arizona Wildcats: 22-30 ATS after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite. 2-5 ATS after 4 straight games with 44 or more rebounds. 18-10 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 24-16 OVER after one or more consecutive overs. 9-3 OVER after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more.

Michigan State Spartans:  T. Walker (G) Prob Thurs - Illness. J. Kohler (F) Late Dec - Foot.

Arizona Wildcats:  H. Veesaar (F) Early Dec - Elbow. D. Anderson (F) out for season - Redshirt.

“He’s had a cold for four or five days and he wasn’t doing good today. I don’t know why he came to the game. He wanted to be there with the guys, and I think that’s a step in the right direction for him.” Tom Izzo on Tyson Walker after his team’s win against Alcorn State in their last game on Sunday.

“It was put together by other people, but I think there was a mutual respect there. I bugged (MSU coach Tom Izzo) a little bit here and there to see if we could schedule a home and home type thing or something like that, it just hasn’t happened yet, but we’re grateful for this opportunity, for sure.” - Tommy Lloyd on his team’s upcoming game against MSU on Thursday.

J. Akins 

M. Hall 

A. Hoggard 

M. Sissoko 

T. Walker

O. Ballo 

K. Boswell 

K. Johnson 

P. Larsson 

C. Love

PPG: T. Walker (23)

APG: T. Holloman (4.6)

Reb/G: J. Akins (6.6)

PPG: K. Boswell (13.8)

APG: C. Love (4.8)

Reb/G: K. Johnson (6.4)

Coaches:

Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (29th season)

Arizona Wildcats: Tommy Lloyd (3rd season)