Miami-OH RedHawks vs Toledo Rockets Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/02/2023

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 2, 2023

Venue:  Ford Field, Detroit, MI

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Miami-OH +8, Toledo -8; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Miami-OH +8, Toledo -8; Over/Under:  46.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Miami-OH +7.5, Toledo -7.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Miami-OH RedHawks:  10-2 (7-1) (1st place, MAC East)

Toledo Rockets:  11-1 (8-0) (1st place, MAC West)

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Miami-OH RedHawks:  won their last game on the road against the Ball State Cardinals 17-15.

Toledo Rockets:  won their last game on the road against the Central Michigan Chippewas 32-17.

Miami-Ohio is entering this game with a 10-2 record overall and they have a 7-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 6-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Ball State 17-15. Aveon Smith was the starting QB and he completed 14/24 passes for 170 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Rashad Amos led the team in rushing yards with 37 and 1 TD. Javon Tracy led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Ty Wise led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 10 assisted tackles while Caiden Woullard and Brian Ugwu each led the defense in sacks with 1. Raion Strader and Corban Hondru each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Toledo is entering this game with an 11-1 record overall and they have an 8-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Central Michigan 32-17. DeQuan Finn was the starting QB and he completed 9/17 passes for 97 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Peny Boone led the team in rushing yards with 186 and 2 TDs. Junior Vandeross III led the receivers with 30 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Daniel Bolden led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Judge Culpepper led the defense in sacks with 2.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Toledo listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This game will be the MAC Championship between Miami-Ohio and Toledo with this game being played at a neutral site in Detroit. Toledo has looked really good this season with their 11-1 record overall and their 8-0 conference record. They haven't lost a game to a MAC opponent all season and their only loss this year actually came at the beginning of the season as they lost in a road game to Illinois by 2 points, a game they were leading the whole time too. Miami-Ohio has also looked really good in their games this season with their impressive 10-2 record overall and their 7-1 record in conference games too. Miami-Ohio hasn't looked as good in their games lately though as they have been just scraping by in a lot of wins against weaker opponents and a lot of that has to do with them losing their starting QB when they lost to Toledo earlier this season. That was a much closer game as they only lost by 4 points but they were also at home and Gabbert did play most of the game before leaving injured. This is going to be a much tougher game for them considering how they have been playing with their backup QB and they won't be at home for this game either. Toledo has been rolling over conference opponents lately and they will continue rolling their way to the Title. The best way to place a bet here is on Toledo to cover the spread in this game. 

Miami-OH Toledo Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 2, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Toledo 31 Miami-OH 17.

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Miami-OH RedHawks: 12-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 21-9 ATS after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins. 23-14 UNDER in all games. 8-2 UNDER as a neutral field underdog. 16-8 UNDER against conference opponents.

Toledo Rockets: 6-11 ATS in games played on a neutral field. 11-22 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. 11-6 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 13-4 UNDER after playing their last game on the road. 8-3 UNDER after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers.

Miami-OH RedHawks:  G. Larvadain (WR) day-to-day - Hamstring. B. Gabbert (QB) out for season - Leg. J. Coldiron (TE) out for season - Lower Body.

Toledo Rockets:  None.

“It sunk in after the strip. We’ve worked hard for it. It feels good. That’s our goal every year.” - Chuck Martin on his team winning the MAC East this season.

"I'm proud of our football team to come on the road and get a win against a team that was playing for a bowl game on their Senior Day. On Thanksgiving week, there are lots of things to be thankful for. I'm really grateful for this football team and the position they've put themselves in. They've done everything they said they were going to do back in January. That is really difficult to do. Man oh man, I'm just really happy for them and proud of them. We've put ourselves in a position where we wanted to be." - Jason Candle after his team reached 11 wins this season.

WR Marshall, Miles 

WR Wilkins Jr., Joe 

WR McDonald, Cade  

TE Bolden, Luke 

QB Smith, Aveon  

RB Amos, Rashad 

FB Bolden, Luke 

WR Maddox, Devin 

WR Vandeross III, Junior 

WR Newton, Jerjuan

TE Torres, Anthony 

QB Finn, Dequan 

RB Boone, Peny 

Passing: B. Gabbert (1634)

Rushing: R. Amos (821)

Receiving: G. Larvadain (625)

Touchdowns: R. Amos (10)

Passing: D. Finn (2378)

Rushing: P. Boone (1359)

Receiving: J. Newton (570)

Touchdowns: P. Boone (16)

Coaches:

Miami-OH RedHawks: Chuck Martin (10th season)

Toledo Rockets: Jason Candle (9th season)