Miami-OH RedHawks vs Ohio Bobcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/06/2026

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Mar 05, 2026
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, March 6, 2026
Venue:  Convocation Center, Athens, OH
Where to Watch:  ESPN2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Miami-OH -5.5, Ohio +5.5; Over/Under:  159.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Miami-OH -5.5, Ohio +5.5; Over/Under:  159.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Miami-OH -4.5, Ohio +4.5; Over/Under:  159.5 points

Season Record

Miami-OH RedHawks:  30-0 (17-0) (1st place, MAC)
Ohio Bobcats:  15-15 (9-8) (5th place, MAC)

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Recent Form
Miami-OH RedHawks:  5-0  last 5
Ohio Bobcats:  2-3  last 5


Miami-OH RedHawks vs Ohio Bobcats Preview and Analysis


Miami-Ohio is entering this game with a 30-0 record overall, a 17-0 record in conference games, and they are 13-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Toledo Rockets in their last game. Peter Suder led the team in points in that game with 19 while Antwone Woolfolk was next on the team with 14. Peter Suder led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Antwone Woolfolk led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 50% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 57.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 90.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 73.8 PPG against them. Miami-Ohio has an ATS record of 19-8 this season and their O/U record is 17-10.


Ohio is entering this game with a 15-15 record overall, a 9-8 conference record, and they are 10-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the UMass Minutemen in their last game. Jackson Paveletzke led the team in points in that game with 24 while Javan Simmons was next on the team with 16. Jackson Paveletzke led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Aidan Hadaway led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 40.3% from the field, 17.9% from 3-point range, and 79.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 77.3 PPG against them. Ohio has an ATS record of 11-17 this season and their O/U record is 14-14.



Miami-OH vs Ohio Prediction

The current betting odds have Miami-OH listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Miami-OH has looked great in their games this season with their 30-0 record overall and their 17-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the MAC. They have been a great road team too with their 13-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, Ohio has looked good in their games this season with their 15-15 record overall and their 9-8 conference record which has them in the top half of the MAC. They have looked good on their home court too with their 10-5 home record this season. As good as they have looked at home, they still haven't been a great home team with those 5 losses and they haven't looked great lately either. They are 2-3 in their last 5 games and they have lost 2 games in a row now, coming off a loss to UMass in their last one. They haven't really been close in these losses either, their last 3 losses all being by double digits, and they already got crushed by Miami-OH earlier this year. Miami-OH has been rolling all season as they are the only undefeated team left in the nation and that has them ranked inside the top 25. They have had some close calls lately, coming off a 2 point win over Toledo in their last one and playing in some other tight games too, but now they are at the finish line with 1 game left in the regular season and they are going to put everything they have into this game to ensure they complete the undefeated regular season. Miami-OH is still the much better team here and they are going to bring their best effort to close out the season strong with the undefeated record, especially since it is still up in the air that they make the NCAA Tournament unless they win the MAC Tournament. The best way to place a bet here is on Miami-OH to cover the spread in this game. 

Miami-OH Ohio Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 6, 2026 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Miami-OH 84 Ohio 70.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Miami-OH RedHawks Ohio Bobcats prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Miami-OH RedHawks: 34-19 ATS as a favorite. 24-16 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 13-7 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game. 12-6 UNDER as a road favorite or pick. 24-16 UNDER off a win against a conference rival.

Ohio Bobcats: 13-23 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5. 16-25 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 17-28 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more. 4-0 UNDER as a home underdog or pick.

Key Injuries


Miami-OH RedHawks:  E. Ipsaro (G) Out - Knee.

Ohio Bobcats:  E. Elliott (G) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


"We want to win the Mid-American Conference tournament championship. We want to cut down those nets in Cleveland. Then we want to advance in the NCAA tournament.” - Travis Steele after his team’s win against Toledo in their last game. 


“At first, I wasn't even entertaining the idea of going back to the MAC. That's so frowned upon, like it's an even move. But I would say I'm having my best year as a basketball player.” - Javan Simmons on coming to Ohio for this college basketball season.


Starting Lineups


Miami-OH RedHawks
B. Byers 
E. Elmer 
L. Skaljac 
P. Suder 
A. Woolfolk

Ohio Bobcats
A. Hadaway 
J. Kelly 
J. Paveletzke 
A. Sheldon 
J. Simmons

Statistical Leaders


Miami-OH RedHawks
PPG: Peter Suder (14.8)
APG: Luke Skaljac (4.7)
Reb/G: Eian Elmer (5.9)

Ohio Bobcats
PPG: Jackson Paveletzke (16.8)
APG: Jackson Paveletzke (5.2)
Reb/G: Aidan Hadaway (7.5)

Coaches:
Miami-OH RedHawks: Travis Steele (4th season)
Ohio Bobcats: Jeff Boals (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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