Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/04/2023

Game Time: 8:05 pm ET, Friday, August 4, 2023

Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX

Where to Watch:  BSSW

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +120, Rangers -142; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +120, Rangers -142; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +120, Rangers -142; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Miami Marlins:  58-51 (3rd place, NL East)

Texas Rangers:  62-46 (1st place, AL West)

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Miami Marlins:  5-5 last 10

Texas Rangers:  4-6 last 10

The Marlins entered their last series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1. They enter this game with a 58-51 record overall and have a road record of 24-28. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Philadelphia Phillies still to be played on Thursday. They also lost the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Monday and Tuesday but won the 3rd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .721 OPS. Johnny Cueto is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Jesús Luzardo is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-5 with a 3.38 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 3 Ks on 7 hits through 4.2 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Rangers entered their last series on a 3 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres. They enter this game with a 62-46 record overall and have a home record of 36-20. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Friday with the 3rd game of their series against the Chicago White Sox still to be played on Thursday. They also won the 1st game and the 2nd game of that series on Tuesday and Wednesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .801 OPS. Max Scherzer is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Jordan Montgomery is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-9 with a 3.42 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Chicago Cubs.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins haven't been great lately as they have been slipping down the standings in the NL East but they have still had a really good pitching staff all season that doesn't give up many runs and they will be looking to bounce back in this series since the Rangers also haven't been great in their games lately as they are also starting to slip from the pressure of the Astros being right on their trail. The Rangers do have one of the best offenses in the MLB this year but their pitching has been terrible and the Marlins can definitely take advantage of that since their offense hasn't been that bad lately. The Marlins also have Luzardo starting here and he has been one of their best starters in the rotation all season since he doesn't give up many runs in any of his starts. He did give up 4 runs in his last start but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year and he will be looking to bounce back in this start. The Rangers also have Montgomery on the mound here who is making his 1st start for the Rangers but he hasn't been great this season and has been giving up more runs in his starts lately. The Rangers also have a terrible bullpen and have done nothing to fix that by bringing in a lot of starters at the trade deadline so as good as their offense has been, they are still going to give up a ton of runs in this game and the Marlins can lean on the good performance of Luzardo along with the rest of the pitching staff to win this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game.

Marlins Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 4, 2023 (8:05 pm ET start time) is Marlins 5 Rangers 2.

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Miami Marlins: 26-51 (-19.2 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 50-63 (-11.9 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 20-12 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150. 21-14 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5.

Texas Rangers: 34-21 (+12 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 36-20 (+9.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 28-13 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5. 50-28 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175.

Miami Marlins:  T. Nance (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. T. Rogers (SP) Mid Aug - Bicep. A. Nardi (SP) Mid Aug - Tricep. M. Barnes (RP) out for season - Hip. J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Texas Rangers:  B. Miller (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. N. Eovaldi (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Heim (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist. J. deGrom (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Odorizzi (SP) out for season - Shoulder. B. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“Fight is exactly how I would describe it. Really good job battling back-and-forth and that is not easy in these extra inning games with guys starting on second base and all kind of different scenarios which can happen. To walk it off like that, it was a really good, needed win.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Wednesday.

“Takes one day of live BP, says he’s good to go and first at-bat ... really, really incredible.” - Bruce Bochy after his team’s win against the White Sox in their game on Wednesday.

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Josh Bell (S) 1B

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) CF

Avisail Garcia (R) RF

Jake Burger (R) 3B

Jesus Sanchez (L) LF

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Nick Fortes (R) C

Marcus Semien (R) 2B

Corey Seager (L) SS

Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B

Adolis Garcia (R) RF

Josh Jung (R) 3B

Travis Jankowski (L) LF

Mitch Garver (R) DH

Leody Taveras (S) CF

Sam Huff (R) C

Batting Average:  Josh Bell (.800)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (152)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (26)

RBI:  Bryan De La Cruz (57)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (15)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (8)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (15)

ERA:  Robert Garcia (0.00)

Batting Average:  Corey Seager (.352)

Hits:  Marcus Semien (125)

Home Runs:  Adolis Garcia (26)

RBI:  Adolis Garcia (85)

Stolen Bases:  Travis Jankowski (15)

Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (11)

Saves:  Will Smith (18)

ERA:  Chris Stratton (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (1st season)