Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2023

Game Time: 12:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 26, 2023

Venue:  Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL 

Where to Watch:  BSSUN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +135, Rays -155; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +135, Rays -155; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +135, Rays -155; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Miami Marlins:  54-47 (2nd place, NL East)

Tampa Bay Rays:  61-42 (2nd place, AL East)

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Miami Marlins:  2-8 last 10

Tampa Bay Rays:  3-7 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series off a win but lost their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-47 record overall and have a road record of 23-27. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Rays on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .721 OPS. Edward Cabrera is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Sandy Alcantara is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-9 with a 4.70 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 8 hits through 6 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Rays are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-42 record overall and have a home record of 36-18. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Marlins on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .774 OPS. Tyler Glasnow is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Zach Eflin is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 11-5 with a 3.36 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 8 strikeouts on 2 hits through 7 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.

The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rays have been rolling all season with one of the best records and one of the best offenses in the MLB but they haven't been as good lately as they have slipped down to 2nd place in their division now. They have still been a really good team though and they have also been crushing teams at home all year. The Marlins were really hot going into the All-Star break but they have come out cold as their offense hasn't been scoring as many runs now and even their pitching hasn't been as good. The Marlins are also going with Alcantara in this game and he hasn't been great this season. He is not the same ace he was last year and has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts lately. The Rays have been a stronger home team all year and even with their struggles as of late, the Rays will put up runs with that strong offense at home here. The Rays also have Eflin starting here and he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts all season, especially in his home starts where he has been even better. The Rays have the stronger offense and the better pitching matchup at home here where they have been better all season and they are going to take advantage of this Marlins team starting to slip. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game.

Marlins Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 26, 2023 (12:10 pm ET start time) is Rays 6 Marlins 2.

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Miami Marlins: 20-10 (+13.6 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 54-47 (+7.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. SANDY ALCANTARA is 31-14 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 and 20-13 UNDER when the total is 7 or less.

Tampa Bay Rays: 48-37 (-3.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 4-14 (-14.4 units) on the moneyline in July games. 14-5 UNDER at home when the total is 6 to 6.5. 12-6 UNDER in July games.

Miami Marlins:  T. Nance (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Rogers (SP) Early Aug - Bicep. M. Barnes (RP) out for season - Hip. J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Nardi (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Tampa Bay Rays:  T. Walls (SS) Out indefinitely - Oblique. J. Fleming (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. F. Mejia (C) Early Sept - Knee. D. Rasmussen (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. Kittredge (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. G. Cleavinger (RP) out for season - Knee. J. Springs (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Baz (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“He looked to the one place they weren’t and was just like ‘I’m gonna hit it there.’ That’s just who he is. It’s an incredible bat-to-ball skill, nothing like I’ve seen in my playing days or coaching days.” - Skip Schumaker on Luis Arraez after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Sunday.

“Ideally this offense is too good to go that quiet for so long. Yandy picked us up but I like to think that we can have some better at-bats collectively to put a little bit more pressure on the pitchers.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Sunday.

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B

Jean Segura (R) 3B

Jon Berti (R) SS

Jesus Sanchez (L) RF

Dane Myers (R) CF

Nick Fortes (R) C

Yandy Diaz (R) 1B

Wander Franco (S) SS

Harold Ramirez (R) DH

Randy Arozarena (R) LF

Isaac Paredes (R) 3B

Brandon Lowe (L) 2B

Jose Siri (R) CF

Manuel Margot (R) RF

Christian Bethancourt (R) C

Batting Average:  Xavier Edwards (.381)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (139)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (24)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (54)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (8)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (15)

ERA:  Robert Garcia (0.00)

Batting Average:  Yandy Diaz (.317)

Hits:  Yandy Diaz (103)

Home Runs:  Jose Siri (20)

RBI:  Randy Arozarena (62)

Stolen Bases:  Wander Franco (28)

Wins:  Shane McClanahan (11)

Saves:  Jason Adam (11)

ERA:  Chase Anderson (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)

Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (9th season)