Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/25/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jul 24, 2023
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 25, 2023
Venue:  Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL 
Where to Watch:  BSSUN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +145, Rays -170; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +145, Rays -170; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +145, Rays -170; Over/Under:  7 runs

Season Record

Miami Marlins:  54-47 (3rd place, NL East)
Tampa Bay Rays:  61-42 (2nd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Miami Marlins:  2-8 last 10
Tampa Bay Rays:  3-7 last 10



Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview and Analysis


The Marlins are entering this series off a win but lost their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-47 record overall and have a road record of 23-27. This is the series opener of a 2-game series with the Rays on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .721 OPS. Jesús Luzardo was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Edward Cabrera is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-5 with a 4.50 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 6 Ks on 2 hits through 5 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Rays are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-42 record overall and have a home record of 36-18. This is the 1st game of a 2-game series with the Marlins on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .774 OPS. Rookie pitcher Taj Bradley was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Tyler Glasnow is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-3 with a 3.62 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 9 strikeouts on 6 hits through 7 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.


Marlins vs Rays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins haven't been great in their games lately but they have still been good this season and are right in the Wild Card race for the NL. They are going to be looking to climb over the Phillies and back into 2nd place and their pitching has been great over the last few weeks. The Rays have one of the best records in the MLB and one of the best offenses too but they have been terrible over the last few weeks as they are starting to slip now. Their offense hasn't been great in their games and the Marlins can definitely take advantage of that since their pitching has been so good. They also have Cabrera starting here and he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts lately so he will continue to pitch well here as the Rays offense is slumping. The Rays are going with Glasnow in this game and he has been good in his starts this season but even he has been unraveling recently and has been giving up more runs in his starts. The Marlins are starting to get hot again and will have some momentum from their last win, their pitching will carry them to a win in this game as the Rays continue to struggle. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game.

Marlins Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 25, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Marlins 4 Rays 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Miami Marlins: 20-10 (+13.6 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 31-21 (+10.3 units) on the moneyline after a win. 10-4 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 to +200. 20-12 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive home games.

Tampa Bay Rays: 12-14 (-5.7 units) on the moneyline after a loss by 2 runs or less. 4-14 (-14.4 units) on the moneyline in July games. 14-5 UNDER at home when the total is 6 to 6.5. TYLER GLASNOW is 7-3 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 or more.

Key Injuries


Miami Marlins:  T. Nance (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Rogers (SP) Early Aug - Bicep. M. Barnes (RP) out for season - Hip. J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Nardi (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Tampa Bay Rays:  T. Walls (SS) Out indefinitely - Oblique. J. Fleming (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. F. Mejia (C) Early Sept - Knee. D. Rasmussen (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. Kittredge (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. G. Cleavinger (RP) out for season - Knee. J. Springs (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Baz (SP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“He looked to the one place they weren’t and was just like ‘I’m gonna hit it there.’ That’s just who he is. It’s an incredible bat-to-ball skill, nothing like I’ve seen in my playing days or coaching days.” - Skip Schumaker on Luis Arraez after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Sunday.


“Ideally this offense is too good to go that quiet for so long. Yandy picked us up but I like to think that we can have some better at-bats collectively to put a little bit more pressure on the pitchers.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Miami Marlins
Luis Arraez (L) 2B
Jorge Soler (R) DH
Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Jean Segura (R) 3B
Jon Berti (R) SS
Jesus Sanchez (L) RF
Dane Myers (R) CF
Nick Fortes (R) C

Tampa Bay Rays
Yandy Diaz (R) 1B
Wander Franco (S) SS
Harold Ramirez (R) DH
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Isaac Paredes (R) 3B
Brandon Lowe (L) 2B
Jose Siri (R) CF
Manuel Margot (R) RF
Christian Bethancourt (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Miami Marlins
Batting Average:  Xavier Edwards (.381)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (139)
Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (24)
RBI:  Jorge Soler (54)
Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)
Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (8)
Saves:  A.J. Puk (15)
ERA:  Robert Garcia (0.00)

Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Yandy Diaz (.317)
Hits:  Yandy Diaz (103)
Home Runs:  Jose Siri (20)
RBI:  Randy Arozarena (62)
Stolen Bases:  Wander Franco (28)
Wins:  Shane McClanahan (11)
Saves:  Jason Adam (11)
ERA:  Chase Anderson (0.00)

Managers:
Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (9th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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