Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/16/2026

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, June 16, 2026

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +141, Phillies -171; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +140, Phillies -170; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +140, Phillies -170; Over/Under:  8 runs

Miami Marlins:  36-36 (4th place, NL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  38-33 (2nd place, NL East)

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Miami Marlins:  8-2 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-36 record overall and have a road record of 13-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .706 OPS. Ryan Gusto is their starting pitcher on Monday while Tyler Phillips is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 SO on 2 hits through 5 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-33 record overall and have a home record of 19-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .681 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Monday while Jesús Luzardo is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-4 with a 4.35 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 4 walks with 8 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5.2 innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins have looked good in their games this season with their 36-36 record overall, but that record has them right near the bottom of the NL East. They haven't been a good road team this year with their 13-20 road record. Meanwhile, the Phillies have looked good in their games this season with their 38-33 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have looked good in their own ballpark too with their 19-17 home record this season. The Phillies are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have looked a lot better lately since their bad start to the season, but the Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games and have been rolling lately. Phillips is on the mound for the Marlins in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs. He is coming off a great start in which he gave up no runs and that has been a common theme for him this year. The team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him pitching in it, but the bullpen has looked a lot better lately. The Phillies are going with Luzardo in this one and he hasn't looked great this year. He is 5-4 with a 4.35 ERA and he has been giving up quite a few runs all season. He is coming off a great start in which he gave up 1 earned run and the team has been having success with him lately, winning 4 games in a row now with him as the starter, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this season and the Marlins have been putting up some runs. This is good value for the Marlins as an underdog with the way Luzardo has pitched this season, and the Phillies also have one of the worst offenses in the league. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game. 

Marlins Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 16, 2026 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Marlins 5 Phillies 3.

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Miami Marlins: 34-49 (-5.5 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 92-124 (-9.1 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 40-80 (-29.3 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 22-9 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

Philadelphia Phillies: 232-172 (+7.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 130-73 (+20.7 units) on the moneyline in home games. 191-114 (+17.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 13-8 OVER as a home favorite of -125 to -175.

Miami Marlins:  J. Ekness (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Calf. A. Nardi (RP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs. G. Conine (LF) Sixty Day IL - Hamstring. J. Junk (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shin. E. Perez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Gracilis. R. Snelling (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Laskey (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Henriquez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  R. Marchan (C) Day To Day - Undisclosed. A. Garcia (RF) Sixty Day IL - Lat. K. Backhus (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow.

"It’s not out of the realm possibility to see someone like Lake continue to get stretched out because he has shown he’s got a lot of weapons that can go through a lineup a couple of times." - Clayton McCullough on his team’s bullpen this season.

“They were all giving me trouble. Everything was off, especially my energy, not to use that as an excuse. I tried to battle.” - Cristopher Sanchez after their loss against the Brewers in their game on Sunday. 

Liam Hicks (L) 1B

Otto Lopez (R) SS

Kyle Stowers (L) DH

Xavier Edwards (S) 2B

Heriberto Hernández (R) LF

Owen Caissie (L) RF

Jakob Marsee (L) CF

Joe Mack (L) C

Connor Norby (R) 3B

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Brandon Marsh (L) RF

Edmundo Sosa (R) LF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Rafael Marchán (S) C

Derek Hill (R) CF

Batting Average:  Otto Lopez (.343)

Hits:  Otto Lopez (97)

Home Runs:  Liam Hicks (13)

RBI:  Liam Hicks (51)

Stolen Bases:  Jakob Marsee (17)

Wins:  Max Meyer (7)

Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (9)

ERA:  William Kempner (0.00)

Batting Average:  Brandon Marsh (.322)

Hits:  Brandon Marsh (76)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (24)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (42)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (14)

Wins:  Cristopher Sánchez (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (18)

ERA:  Cristopher Sánchez (1.82)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Clayton McCullough (2nd season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Don Mattingly (Interim)