Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/19/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Jun 18, 2022
Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, June 19, 2022
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch:  WPIX

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +115, Mets -135; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +115, Mets -135; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +115, Mets -135; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Miami Marlins:  28-34 (4th place, NL East)
New York Mets:  43-23 (1st place, NL East)
 
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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Miami Marlins:  6-4 last 10
New York Mets:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Miami Marlins Analysis

The Marlins are coming into this game with a 28-34 record overall and they are 13-20 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Mets on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Braxton Garrett is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Sandy Alcantara is on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 6-2 with a 1.68 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits in 7.2 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 15 runs against them averaging 5 runs allowed per game.
 

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets are coming into this game with a 43-23 record overall and they are 22-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Marlins on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Taijuan Walker is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Chris Bassitt will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 5-4 with a 4.01 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 3 hits in 8 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers. They scored 11 runs in their last series averaging just under 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 14 runs against them averaging just under 5 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Marlins vs Mets Prediction

The Marlins are coming into this game as a slight underdog with the current betting odds. They have not been playing well recently and they are going up against a Mets team that has one of the best records in the MLB right now. The Mets have been playing very well recently as they have been hitting the ball well and scoring a lot of runs in their games but they have also been dealing with a lot of injuries to their pitching staff and as a result they have been losing some tough games due to poor pitching. They have Bassit on the mound here and he has been alright this season but he has not been great either and has had a few bad starts under his belt this season. He is coming off of a great start where he allowed no runs in 8 innings but he will likely not replicate that performance here after pitching such a good game so deep into it. The Marlins have Alcantara starting here and he has been both great and consistent all season. He does not allow many runs in his starts and he has not even had a bad start this season yet. The Marlins have some good batters in their lineup and they will find ways to get to Bassit here while Alcantara should be able to reduce the damage done by the Mets here. The best bet here is on the Marlins to win this game.
 
Marlins Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 19, 2022 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Marlins 7 Mets 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Miami Marlins: 28-34 (-7.2 Units) ML in all games. 11-24 (-9.5 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 13-20 (-4.7 Units) ML in road games. 
New York Mets: 43-23 (+16.8 Units) ML in all games. 24-9 (+12.4 Units) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 19-11 OVER in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Miami Marlins:  B. Anderson (3B) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Wendle (2B) Late June - Hamstring. J. Luzardo (SP) Mid July - Forearm.
New York Mets:  T. Jankowski (RF) Early July - Hand. J. McCann (C) Late June - Wrist. M. Scherzer (SP) Early July - Oblique.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Felt like we were kind of swimming up stream from the very beginning of that game — three hitters in, we're down 3-0." - Don Mattingly after his team’s loss against the Mets on Friday.
 
 
"Those are moments — I got emotional when he hit his home run, I could tell he was too, to see her son do that tonight." - Buck Showalter after his team’s win against the Marlins on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Miami Marlins
Jon Berti (R) 3B
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B
Jorge Soler (R) LF
Garrett Cooper (R) DH
Avisail Garcia (R) RF
Lewin Diaz (L) 1B
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Nick Fortes (R) C
Bryan De La Cruz (R) CF
 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Starling Marte (R) RF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Mark Canha (R) LF
J.D. Davis (R) DH
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Tomas Nido (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Miami Marlins
Batting Average:  Nick Fortes (.333)
Hits:  Garrett Cooper (62)
Home Runs:  Jazz Chisholm (13)
RBI:  Jazz Chisholm (41)
Stolen Bases:  Jon Berti (15)
Wins:  Sandy Alcantara (6)
Saves:  Anthony Bender (6)
ERA:  Daniel Castano (0.00)
 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Khalil Lee (.500)
Hits:  Jeff McNeil (71)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (19)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (63)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (8)
Wins:  Carlos Carrasco (8)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (13)
ERA:  Stephen Nogosek (0.71)
 
Managers:
Miami Marlins: Don Mattingly (7th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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