Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/17/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Jun 16, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, June 17, 2022
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch:  SNY

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins NL, Mets NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins NL, Mets NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins NL, Mets NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
 

Season Record

Miami Marlins:  28-33 (4th place, NL East)
New York Mets:  41-23 (1st place, NL East)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Ben Burns is on a RUN of $80K (10*) MLB! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

 

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Miami Marlins:  6-4 last 10
New York Mets:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Miami Marlins Analysis

The Marlins are coming into this game with a 28-33 record overall and they are 13-19 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series opener of a 4-game series with the Mets on Friday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday. Daniel Castano was the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while there is no probable starting pitcher yet on the mound for them here on Friday. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 15 runs against them averaging 5 runs allowed per game.
 

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets are coming into this game with a 41-23 record overall and they are 20-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 4-game series with the Marlins on Friday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Milwaukee Brewers still to be played on Thursday. Tylor Megill is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while Carlos Carrasco will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 7-2 with a 3.93 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 9 hits in 4.2 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels. They scored 6 runs in their last series averaging 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging 5 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

 

Marlins vs Mets Prediction

The Mets are coming into this game after a road trip where they were not bad but they were not great either and actually lost some ground in the standings to a very hot Braves team. They have had some trouble with their pitching recently as they are dealing with injuries but they have won 2 of their last 3 games and are starting to play much better again. They are back at home here and going up against a Marlins team that has been hitting well recently but is still losing a lot of games due to their pitching. The Mets have a very good lineup and are one of the better teams in the MLB this season, these are the teams they need to beat up on when playing at home in these series. The Marlins have not announced a starter yet so it will likely be a bullpen day for them and considering how they have been losing a lot of games recently due to their pitching, the Mets should be able to score runs here at home and win this game. They also have Megill starting who is coming off of a bad start in his last game but he has been pitching well all season and will likely bounce back in this game at home. The best bet here is on the Mets to win this game at home and get back on track with more wins here.
 
Marlins Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 17, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 6 Marlins 2.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Miami Marlins New York Mets prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.
 

MLB Betting Trends

 
Miami Marlins: 28-33 (-6.2 Units) ML in all games. 20-27 (-8.8 Units) ML against right-handed starters. PABLO LOPEZ is 13-6 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125.
New York Mets: 41-23 (+14.8 Units) ML in all games. 20-9 (+8.2 Units) ML in home games. 17-11 OVER in home games. 
 

Key Injuries

 
Miami Marlins:  B. Anderson (3B) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Wendle (2B) Late June - Hamstring. J. Luzardo (SP) Mid July - Forearm.
New York Mets:  T. Jankowski (RF) Early July - Hand. J. McCann (C) Late June - Wrist. M. Scherzer (SP) Early July - Oblique.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Obviously, that one is disappointing with the way that we thrown the ball today to get to that point. It's disappointing. I've had enough of those for the year." - Don Mattingly after his team’s loss against the Phillies on Wednesday.
 
 
"That's the first time I really got to see him up close. A reminder of why he's one of, if not the, best pitcher in the National League. Got to see it up close." - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Brewers on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B
Jon Berti (R) 3B
Jorge Soler (R) DH
Jesus Aguilar (R) 1B
Jesus Sanchez (L) CF
Avisail Garcia (R) RF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Nick Fortes (R) C
Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF
 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Starling Marte (R) RF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Eduardo Escobar (S) DH
Mark Canha (R) LF
Luis Guillorme (L) 3B
Patrick Mazeika (L) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Miami Marlins
Batting Average:  Nick Fortes (.333)
Hits:  Garrett Cooper (60)
Home Runs:  Jazz Chisholm (13)
RBI:  Jazz Chisholm (41)
Stolen Bases:  Jon Berti (14)
Wins:  Sandy Alcantara (6)
Saves:  Anthony Bender (6)
ERA:  Daniel Castano (0.00)
 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Khalil Lee (.500)
Hits:  Jeff McNeil (69)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (18)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (59)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (8)
Wins:  Carlos Carrasco (7)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (12)
ERA:  Stephen Nogosek (0.71)
 
Managers:
Miami Marlins: Don Mattingly (7th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2024 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.