Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/14/2026

Game Time: 6:10 pm ET, Friday, August 14, 2026

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH 

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -103, Reds -117; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -105, Reds -115; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -105, Reds -115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Miami Marlins:  62-60 (3rd place, NL East)

Cincinnati Reds:  58-62 (4th place, NL Central)

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Miami Marlins:  5-5 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  6-4 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 62-60 record overall and have a road record of 24-35. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Reds on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. Tyler Phillips was their starting pitcher on Thursday while Sandy Alcantara is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 13-6 with a 3.52 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 8 SO on 3 hits through 7 IP against the Los Angeles Angels.

The Reds are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-62 record overall and have a home record of 29-31. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Friday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .704 OPS. Andrew Abbott was their starting pitcher on Thursday while Chase Burns is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 13-2 with a 2.61 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 walks with 6 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5.1 innings pitched against the Washington Nationals.

The current betting odds have the Reds listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Reds haven't looked great in their games this season with their 58-62 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the NL Central. They haven't looked great in their own ballpark either with their 29-31 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Marlins have looked good in their games this season with their 62-60 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They have been a terrible road team though with their 24-35 road record this year. The Marlins have looked better lately, going 5-5 in their last 10 games, but the Reds are 6-4 in their last 10 games with their offense starting to pick up too. The Reds are going with Burns in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 13-2 with a 2.61 ERA and he has been their ace this season. He is coming off a bad start in which he gave up 5 earned runs and the team has had some trouble with him lately too, losing 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year and he will be looking to bounce back at home with a better start. The Marlins are going with Alcantara in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 13-6 with a 3.52 ERA and he has looked great lately. He gave up no runs in his last start and the team has won 3 games in a row now with him starting, but he hasn't looked his best on the road. The Marlins have had a lot more trouble in road games this season too and that could give the edge to the Reds here with the stronger starter. Look for the Reds to continue rolling with that hot offense and take advantage of this pitching matchup with their best on the mound. The best way to place a bet here is on the Reds to win this game. 

Marlins Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 14, 2026 (6:10 pm ET start time) is Reds 3 Marlins 1.

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Miami Marlins: 203-242 (+16.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 97-124 (+21.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 144-184 (+30.5 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 9-5 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5.

Cincinnati Reds: 42-47 (-5.7 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 216-228 (-6.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 112-109 (-13.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 22-11 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher.

Miami Marlins:  K. Stowers (1B) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. M. Meyer (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Neck. W. Kempner (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. A. Bender (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shin. A. Nardi (RP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs. R. Snelling (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Mazur (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Henriquez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Cincinnati Reds:  H. Greene (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Dunn (CF) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. S. Steer (1B) Ten Day IL - Wrist. T. Santillan (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. G. Ashcraft (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. B. Williamson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

“It'll be big. We still certainly believe in Agustín -- he's a good player. He smoked the ball in the No. 5, No. 6 hole, the double down the third-base line. He's another one who swings fast and hits the ball hard. We've seen him do things like tonight. He's certainly very capable, and I think right now, we just need contributions from as many places as we can get it. And when guys get chances to go in there and pass the baton to the next guy, that is going to need to come from all over the lineup.” - Clayton McCullough after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Wednesday. 

“Once he put that [changeup] in, then he started using his fastball when he elevated a few times. He just really pitched a good game.” - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the White Sox in their game on Wednesday. 

Jakob Marsee (L) CF

Xavier Edwards (S) 2B

Otto Lopez (R) SS

Griffin Conine (L) DH

Agustín Ramírez (R) C

Leo Jiménez (R) 1B

Owen Caissie (L) RF

Javier Sanoja (R) 3B

Esteury Ruiz (R) LF

Elly De La Cruz (S) SS

Sal Stewart (R) 1B

JJ Bleday (L) LF

Tyler Stephenson (R) C

Eugenio Suárez (R) DH

Dane Myers (R) CF

Héctor Rodríguez (L) RF

Matt McLain (R) 2B

Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Otto Lopez (.313)

Hits:  Otto Lopez (148)

Home Runs:  Heriberto Hernandez (17)

RBI:  Liam Hicks (62)

Stolen Bases:  Esteury Ruiz (28)

Wins:  Sandy Alcantara (13)

Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (18)

ERA:  Josh Ekness (2.00)

Batting Average:  Blake Dunn (.282)

Hits:  Sal Stewart (118)

Home Runs:  Sal Stewart (26)

RBI:  Sal Stewart (89)

Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (21)

Wins:  Chase Burns (13)

Saves:  Emilio Pagán (14)

ERA:  Chase Burns (2.61)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Clayton McCullough (2nd season)

Cincinnati Reds: Terry Francona (2nd season)