Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/09/2023

Game Time: 12:35 pm ET, Wednesday, August 9, 2023

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH 

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +105, Reds -125; Over/Under:  10 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +105, Reds -125; Over/Under:  10 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +105, Reds -125; Over/Under:  10 runs

Miami Marlins:  58-56 (3rd place, NL East)

Cincinnati Reds:  60-55 (2nd place, NL Central)

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Miami Marlins:  2-8 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  3-7 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series on a 4 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-56 record overall and have a road record of 24-32. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Reds on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .718 OPS. Braxton Garrett is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Johnny Cueto is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-3 with a 5.32 ERA this season. His team lost their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Reds are entering this series on a 6 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-55 record overall and have a home record of 29-29. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .745 OPS. Luke Weaver is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Graham Ashcraft is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-7 with a 5.18 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits through 8 innings played against the Washington Nationals.

The current betting odds have the Reds listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Reds have been terrible in their games lately as they have been slipping down the standings in the NL Central but the Marlins have also been terrible themselves lately, also slipping down their division. The Marlins don't have a strong offense and they do have good pitching but lately their pitching hasn't been great. The Reds have been the opposite as their pitching staff has struggled all season but they do have a really good offense and now even their pitching staff has been better lately, not giving up many runs. The Reds have Ashcraft starting here and he has also been a lot better in his starts lately, not giving up many runs now and coming off a good start in his last one. Meanwhile, the Marlins have Cueto starting here and he has been giving up a lot of runs in his starts with the team not finding a lot of success with him on the mound either. The Reds have been improving with their pitching as of late and they still have a much stronger offense than the Marlins do. The Reds will be able to take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get here while the Marlins will struggle and the Reds will be able to edge the Marlins out here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Reds to win this game. 

Marlins Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 9, 2023 (12:35 pm ET start time) is Reds 7 Marlins 3.

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Miami Marlins: 38-48 (-13.5 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 84-134 (-29.3 units) on the moneyline in road games. 27-16 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. JOHNNY CUETO is 31-16 UNDER in all games.

Cincinnati Reds: 60-55 (+15 units) on the moneyline in all games. 37-32 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 16-5 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 22-14 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Miami Marlins:  J. Chargois (RP) Out indefinitely - Ribs. T. Nance (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder. T. Rogers (SP) Mid Aug - Bicep. A. Nardi (SP) Mid Aug - Tricep. M. Barnes (RP) out for season - Hip. J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Cincinnati Reds:  A. Young (RP) Ques Tues - Back. J. India (2B) Prob Tues - Heel. J. Fraley (LF) Out indefinitely - Toe. B. Lively (RP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. H. Greene (SP) Prob Aug 20 - Hip. V. Gutierrez (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. C. Casali (C) Mid Aug - Foot. R. Sanmartin (SP) out for season - Elbow. N. Lodolo (SP) Late Aug - Calf. T. Antone (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Dunn (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“Keep fighting. We’re in this. There are all kinds of teams that are pushing to get into wild-card spots or win divisions. The Reds are one of them. We’re right there with them.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s loss against the Reds in their game on Monday.

“It was just when we needed it the most for sure. Not only for the win, (but) how much we’ve used our bullpen. It was the best we’ve seen him.” - David Bell after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Monday.

Jon Berti (R) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) RF

Josh Bell (S) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) CF

Jake Burger (R) 3B

Avisail Garcia (R) LF

Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B

Nick Fortes (R) C

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Elly De La Cruz (S) SS

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Spencer Steer (R) 3B

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) DH

Joey Votto (L) 1B

Tyler Stephenson (R) C

Kevin Newman (R) 2B

Will Benson (L) RF

Stuart Fairchild (R) LF

Batting Average:  Xavier Edwards (.381)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (157)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (27)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (60)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (15)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (8)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (15)

ERA:  Robert Garcia (0.00)

Batting Average:  Matt McLain (.302)

Hits:  Spencer Steer (109)

Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (17)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (63)

Stolen Bases:  TJ Friedl (21)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (33)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)