Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/08/2023

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, August 8, 2023

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH 

Where to Watch:  BSOH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -162, Reds +136; Over/Under:  10 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -162, Reds +136; Over/Under:  10 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -162, Reds +136; Over/Under:  10 runs

Miami Marlins:  58-55 (3rd place, NL East)

Cincinnati Reds:  59-55 (3rd place, NL Central)

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Miami Marlins:  3-7 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  3-7 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series on a 4 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-55 record overall and have a road record of 24-31. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .720 OPS. Rookie pitcher Eury Pérez is their starting pitcher on Monday while Braxton Garrett is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-3 with a 4.14 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Reds are entering this series on a 6 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-55 record overall and have a home record of 28-29. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Rookie pitcher Brandon Williamson is their starting pitcher on Monday while Luke Weaver is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-4 with a 6.98 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 3 innings played against the Chicago Cubs.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins haven't been playing well in their games lately as they have been slipping down the NL East standings in the middle of a slump but the Reds haven't been any better in their games lately either since they are also slumping and have been slipping down to 3rd in their division. The Reds have been pumping out wins all season with their great offense but lately their offense has been cooling off and as a result the whole team has been regressing. The Marlins haven't had a great offense this season themselves but their pitching staff has been really good and that is something that has been terrible for the Reds this year so the Marlins definitely have the advantage there. They also have Garrett starting in this game and he has been really reliable on the mound for them while Weaver is up for the Reds and he has been terrible all season, giving up a ton of runs in most of his starts. The Marlins are going to have the edge in this series with their pitching and with both offense not putting up many runs lately, the Marlins will edge the Reds out with their better pitching staff. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game. 

Marlins Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 8, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Marlins 3 Reds 2.

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Miami Marlins: 38-47 (-12.2 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 84-133 (-28 units) on the moneyline in road games. 26-16 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. BRAXTON GARRETT is 27-18 UNDER in all games.

Cincinnati Reds: 59-55 (+13.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 39-42 (+11.5 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 25-18 UNDER at home when the total is 10 to 10.5. 21-11 UNDER in the second half of the season.

Miami Marlins:  J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Ques Mon - Hamstring. J. Chargois (RP) Out indefinitely - Ribs. T. Nance (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder. T. Rogers (SP) Mid Aug - Bicep. A. Nardi (SP) Mid Aug - Tricep. M. Barnes (RP) out for season - Hip. J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Cincinnati Reds:  A. Young (RP) Ques Mon - Back. J. India (2B) Prob Tues - Heel. J. Fraley (LF) Out indefinitely - Toe. B. Lively (RP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. H. Greene (SP) Prob Aug 20 - Hip. V. Gutierrez (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. C. Casali (C) Mid Aug - Foot. R. Sanmartin (SP) out for season - Elbow. N. Lodolo (SP) Late Aug - Calf. T. Antone (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. C. Legumina (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Dunn (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“I haven’t seen a play like that ever in my big-league career. When you’re on a streak like this, those plays happen.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.

“It was an unfortunate way to start the game and major league career. He has a long one ahead of him and just the way he was able to keep pitching and hold it together for three innings, really says a lot about him. It is a tough way to start, I mean, you get off to a rough start like that in your debut. We’ve seen guys back away. We’ve known that about Lyon. He was given an opportunity there to demonstrate who he is and why he’s going to be so good.” - David Bell on Lyon Richardson after his team’s loss against the Nationals in their game on Sunday.

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) RF

Josh Bell (S) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) CF

Jake Burger (R) 3B

Avisail Garcia (R) LF

Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B

Jon Berti (R) SS

Jacob Stallings (R) C

Elly De La Cruz (S) SS

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Matt McLain (R) 2B

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) DH

Joey Votto (L) 1B

Tyler Stephenson (R) C

Nick Senzel (R) 3B

Will Benson (L) RF

Stuart Fairchild (R) LF

Batting Average:  Xavier Edwards (.381)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (157)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (26)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (59)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (15)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (8)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (15)

ERA:  Robert Garcia (0.00)

Batting Average:  Matt McLain (.302)

Hits:  Spencer Steer (108)

Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (17)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (63)

Stolen Bases:  Jake Fraley (20)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (32)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)