Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/07/2023

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Monday, August 7, 2023

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH 

Where to Watch:  BSOH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -130, Reds +110; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -130, Reds +110; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -125, Reds +105; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

Miami Marlins:  58-54 (3rd place, NL East)

Cincinnati Reds:  59-54 (2nd place, NL Central)

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Miami Marlins:  4-6 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  3-7 last 10

The Marlins entered their last series off a loss and lost their 4-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 3-1. They enter this game with a 58-54 record overall and have a road record of 24-30. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Reds on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Texas Rangers still to be played on Sunday. They also lost the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Friday and Saturday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Sandy Alcantara is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Braxton Garrett is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 5-3 with a 4.14 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Reds entered their last series on a 3 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Chicago Cubs 3-1. They enter this game with a 59-54 record overall and have a home record of 28-28. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the Washington Nationals still to be played on Sunday. They also lost the 1st game and the 2nd game of that series on Friday and Saturday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .745 OPS. Rookie pitcher Lyon Richardson is their starting pitcher on Sunday while rookie pitcher Brandon Williamson is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 3-2 with a 4.85 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 7 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Chicago Cubs.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins haven't been great in their games lately as they have been slipping down the NL East but the Reds haven't been any better either as they are also in the middle of a slump. The Reds have had a really strong offense which has kept them afloat this season but lately they haven't been putting up a lot of runs in their games and their cold offense will struggle even more against the Marlins who have a great pitching staff. The Reds have Williamson starting in this game and he is in his rookie season but he gave up 5 runs in his last start and has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts lately. Meanwhile, the Marlins have Garrett on the mound here and he has been pitching well in his starts lately just like how he has been pitching all season. He also has a really good bullpen behind him so the Marlins will be able to edge the Reds out with their pitching staff and the better pitching matchup here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game. 

Marlins Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, August 7, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Marlins 4 Reds 1.

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Miami Marlins: 80-96 (-16.8 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 84-132 (-27 units) on the moneyline in road games. 36-23 UNDER in August games. 

Cincinnati Reds: 59-54 (+15.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 39-42 (+11.5 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 20-11 UNDER in the second half of the season.

Miami Marlins:  J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Ques Sun - Hamstring. J. Chargois (RP) Out indefinitely - Ribs. T. Nance (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder. T. Rogers (SP) Mid Aug - Bicep. A. Nardi (SP) Mid Aug - Tricep. M. Barnes (RP) out for season - Hip. J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Cincinnati Reds:  J. India (2B) Prob Tues - Heel. J. Fraley (LF) Out indefinitely - Toe. B. Lively (RP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. H. Greene (SP) Prob Aug 20 - Hip. V. Gutierrez (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. C. Casali (C) Mid Aug - Foot. R. Sanmartin (SP) out for season - Elbow. N. Lodolo (SP) Late Aug - Calf. T. Antone (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. C. Legumina (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Dunn (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“There’s a lot to like about him. Today just some balls over the middle of the plate that he got hurt by. He’s 23 years old. He’s going to be a really good big-leaguer for a long time.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Saturday.

“From what I could see, he was attacking the zone, keeping us on the defensive. We didn’t have a walk until late in the game. That’s been part of our game, to go deep in the counts and get on base any way we can.” - David Bell after his team’s loss against the Nationals in their game on Saturday.

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Josh Bell (S) 1B

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) CF

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Jon Berti (R) 3B

Jesus Sanchez (L) RF

Nick Fortes (R) C

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Elly De La Cruz (S) SS

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Matt McLain (R) 2B

Spencer Steer (R) LF

Joey Votto (L) 1B

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) DH

Will Benson (L) RF

Nick Senzel (R) 3B

Luke Maile (R) C

Batting Average:  Xavier Edwards (.381)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (156)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (26)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (59)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (15)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (8)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (15)

ERA:  Robert Garcia (0.00)

Batting Average:  Matt McLain (.306)

Hits:  Spencer Steer (108)

Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (17)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (63)

Stolen Bases:  Jake Fraley (20)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (32)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)