Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/28/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  NESN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -115, Red Sox -105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -115, Red Sox -105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -115, Red Sox -105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Miami Marlins:  45-34 (2nd place, NL East)

Boston Red Sox:  40-39 (5th place, AL East)

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Miami Marlins:  7-3 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  6-4 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 4-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-34 record overall and have a road record of 20-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .716 OPS. Sandy Alcantara is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Braxton Garrett is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-2 with a 3.64 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 13 Ks on 3 hits through 7 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Red Sox are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-39 record overall and have a home record of 21-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .757 OPS. Garrett Whitlock is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Kaleb Ort is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-1 with a 5.79 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 2 hits through 2.1 innings played against the New York Yankees.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins have been playing well lately as they are 2nd place in the NL East and they have been winning a lot of their games lately with great performances from their pitching staff. Their offense hasn't been great this season while the Red Sox have been really good on offense, but the Red Sox have also had some terrible pitching too. The Red Sox are going with Ort in this game and he really hasn't made many starts this season. He has also been giving up a lot of runs in his few appearances so the Marlins lineup will get their chances here with the Red Sox pitching so badly. The Marlins have Garrett starting in this game and he has been really good all season, not giving up many runs in his starts. He also has a really good bullpen behind him that will be able to shut down this Red Sox offense that has been struggling in their games lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game.

Marlins Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 28, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Marlins 5 Red Sox 2.

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Miami Marlins: 46-34 (+14.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 18-7 (+14.6 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 18-9 OVER after allowing 2 runs or less. 10-4 OVER after allowing 1 run or less.

Boston Red Sox: 11-16 (-7.7 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 6-16 (-11.3 units) on the moneyline after scoring 2 runs or less. 6-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive losses. 13-7 OVER after 2 straight games where they committed no errors.

Miami Marlins:  T. Nance (RP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Cueto (SP) Early July - Bicep. T. Rogers (SP) Mid July - Bicep. J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Prob Tues - Foot. E. Cabrera (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Segura (2B) Prob Tues - Hamstring. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Barnes (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Boston Red Sox:  J. Paxton (SP) Prob Fri - Knee. P. Reyes (3B) Out indefinitely - Abdominal. J. Schreiber (RP) Early July - Back. A. Verdugo (RF) Prob Tues - Personal. R. McGuire (C) Mid July - Oblique. Y. Chang (3B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. J. Rodriguez (RP) Early July - Shoulder. C. Kluber (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Houck (SP) Out indefinitely - Face. W. Mills (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Story (2B) Late July - Elbow. R. Bleier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“This is a crazy run and I just don’t see it going in a different direction because of how easy and fluid his mechanics are.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Sunday.

“We’ve got to hit the cutoff man on the first one. We overthrew that one. It’s a tough situation there. As an infielder, you have to keep looking back.” - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the White Sox in their game on Sunday.

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Garrett Cooper (R) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Jesus Sanchez (L) RF

Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B

Jon Berti (R) 3B

Nick Fortes (R) C

Jacob Amaya (R) SS

Jonathan Davis (R) CF

Rob Refsnyder (R) RF

Justin Turner (R) DH

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Adam Duvall (R) CF

Masataka Yoshida (L) LF

Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B

Christian Arroyo (R) 2B

Enrique Hernandez (R) SS

Caleb Hamilton (R) C

Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.399)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (111)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (21)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (45)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (6)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (11)

ERA:  Eury Perez (1.34)

Batting Average:  Pablo Reyes (.303)

Hits:  Alex Verdugo (86)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (18)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (60)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (14)

Wins:  Chris Sale (5)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (16)

ERA:  Chris Murphy (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)