Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/27/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, June 27, 2023

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  NESN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +100, Red Sox -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +100, Red Sox -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +100, Red Sox -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Miami Marlins:  45-34 (2nd place, NL East)

Boston Red Sox:  40-39 (5th place, AL East)

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Miami Marlins:  7-3 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  6-4 last 10

The Marlins are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak and won their 4-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-34 record overall and have a road record of 20-18. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .716 OPS. Rookie pitcher Eury Pérez was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Sandy Alcantara is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-6 with a 5.08 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 10 hits through 7 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Red Sox are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-39 record overall and have a home record of 21-18. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .757 OPS. Kutter Crawford was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Garrett Whitlock is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-2 with a 4.50 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 6 strikeouts on 8 hits through 7 innings played against the Minnesota Twins.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins have been surging up the standings lately as they now find themselves in 2nd place of the NL East with a record 11 games above .500. Their pitching has been really good lately and a big reason as to why they have been winning so many games. They are starting Alcantara in this game and he hasn't been good this season when he was this team's ace just a season ago but the team has been having success with him on the mound lately and he will be looking to bounce back with a much better performance after his last start. The Red Sox are only 1 game over .500 this season and sitting at the bottom of their division too. Their offense has been really good all year but it has been their pitching that has been letting them down in games. They have been dealing with a lot of injuries lately and have been giving up a lot of runs because of it. They have Whitlock starting here but even he gave up 4 runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him in games he starts as opposed to pitching out of the bullpen which is what he is used to. The Marlins offense has also been a lot better in these games lately so they are going to get after Whitlock and this terrible Red Sox bullpen here while the Marlins great pitching staff works hard to keep the Red Sox off the board here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game.

Marlins Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 27, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Marlins 4 Red Sox 1.

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Miami Marlins: 45-34 (+13.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 17-7 (+13.3 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 17-9 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150. 17-9 OVER after allowing 2 runs or less.

Boston Red Sox: 6-15 (-10 units) on the moneyline after scoring 2 runs or less. 11-15 (-6.3 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 16-8 OVER after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. 23-15 OVER in home games.

Miami Marlins:  T. Nance (RP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Cueto (SP) Early July - Bicep. T. Rogers (SP) Early July - Bicep. J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Early July - Foot. E. Cabrera (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Segura (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Barnes (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Boston Red Sox:  J. Paxton (SP) Ques Fri - Knee. P. Reyes (3B) Out indefinitely - Abdominal. J. Schreiber (RP) Early July - Back. A. Verdugo (RF) Prob Tues - Personal. R. McGuire (C) Mid July - Oblique. Y. Chang (3B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. J. Rodriguez (RP) Early July - Shoulder. C. Kluber (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Houck (SP) Out indefinitely - Face. W. Mills (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Story (2B) Late July - Elbow. R. Bleier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“This is a crazy run and I just don’t see it going in a different direction because of how easy and fluid his mechanics are.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Sunday.

“We’ve got to hit the cutoff man on the first one. We overthrew that one. It’s a tough situation there. As an infielder, you have to keep looking back.” - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the White Sox in their game on Sunday.

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Garrett Cooper (R) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Jesus Sanchez (L) RF

Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B

Jon Berti (R) 3B

Nick Fortes (R) C

Jacob Amaya (R) SS

Jonathan Davis (R) CF

Rob Refsnyder (R) RF

Justin Turner (R) DH

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Adam Duvall (R) CF

Masataka Yoshida (L) LF

Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B

Christian Arroyo (R) 2B

Enrique Hernandez (R) SS

Caleb Hamilton (R) C

Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.399)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (111)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (21)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (45)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (6)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (11)

ERA:  Eury Perez (1.34)

Batting Average:  Pablo Reyes (.303)

Hits:  Alex Verdugo (86)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (18)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (60)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (14)

Wins:  Chris Sale (5)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (16)

ERA:  Chris Murphy (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)