Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/30/2023

Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Friday, June 30, 2023

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  BSSE

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +155, Braves -180; Over/Under:  10 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +165, Braves -185; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +155, Braves -190; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Miami Marlins:  47-34 (2nd place, NL East)

Atlanta Braves:  53-27 (1st place, NL East)

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Miami Marlins:  7-3 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  9-1 last 10

The Marlins entered their last series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 4-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 3-1. They enter this game with a 47-34 record overall and have a road record of 22-18. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Braves on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Boston Red Sox still to be played on Thursday. They also won the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Tuesday and Wednesday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Jesús Luzardo is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Bryan Hoeing is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-1 with a 2.31 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 2 Ks on 0 hits through 5 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Braves are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-27 record overall and have a home record of 27-15. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .827 OPS. Kolby Allard was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Michael Soroka is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-1 with a 8.38 ERA this season. His team won their last game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers, and 4 BB with 2 strikeouts on 7 hits through 3.2 innings played against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a big underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins have been having a great season as they are in 2nd place of the NL East and have been really hot in their games lately. The Braves have also been really hot in their games lately as they have the 2nd best record in the entire MLB now, but the Marlins are not going to let this series go easily when they have a chance to gain some ground on the Braves in the division here. The Marlins also have the better pitching matchup in this game with Hoeing on the mound. Hoeing doesn't have a ton of experience but he has been a solid starter for them all season and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts at all. The Braves are going with Soroka though and he has been plagued by injuries for so long that he has barely made any starts in the MLB over the last few years. He has only made 2 starts this season too and he wasn't great, giving up a ton of runs in those 2 starts. He will struggle against the Marlins offense which has been hitting the ball a lot better lately and the red hot Marlins will be able to stay in this game with a chance to win due to their great pitching as of late. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game and on the runline to keep it close. 

Marlins Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 30, 2023 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Marlins 4 Braves 2.

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Miami Marlins: 27-68 (-20.3 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +150 or more. 83-120 (-16.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 7-2 OVER after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less. 10-5 OVER after allowing 1 run or less. 

Atlanta Braves: 53-27 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 47-21 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 16-8 OVER as a favorite of -175 to -250. 25-12 OVER after shutting out their opponent.

Miami Marlins:  T. Rogers (SP) Mid July - Bicep. T. Nance (RP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Cueto (SP) Early July - Bicep. E. Cabrera (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Barnes (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Atlanta Braves:  K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Early July - Shin. M. Fried (SP) Mid July - Forearm. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“Really good baserunning. Our defense was really good. I just really liked the way they came out and played. Ran the bases the right way and put the ball in play. You put the ball in play and good things happen and that’s what happened to us.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s win against the Red Sox in their game on Wednesday.

“It was a really good job by everybody. Any time you throw a shutout it's a team effort.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Wednesday.

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) CF

Garrett Cooper (R) 1B

Jean Segura (R) 3B

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Nick Fortes (R) C

Jonathan Davis (R) RF

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.396)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (114)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (21)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (46)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (6)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (12)

ERA:  Eury Perez (1.34)

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.331)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (107)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (26)

RBI:  Matt Olson (62)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (36)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (9)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (13)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)