Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/29/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, May 28, 2022
Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, May 29, 2022
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  BSSE

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +170, Braves -200; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +170, Braves -200; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +170, Braves -200; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Miami Marlins:  18-25 (4th place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves:  22-24 (2nd place, NL East)
 
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Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Miami Marlins:  3-7 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Miami Marlins Analysis

The Marlins are coming into this game with a 18-25 record overall and they are 8-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game losing streak. They just lost their 2-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays getting swept 2-0 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Sandy Alcantara is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Elieser Hernández is on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 2-4 with a 5.45 ERA this season. His team lost their last 5 straight games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 2 Ks on 0 hits in 1 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays. They scored 4 runs in their last series averaging 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 9 runs against them averaging 4.5 runs allowed per game.
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 22-24 record overall and they are 13-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just split their 4-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-2 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Tucker Davidson is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Max Fried will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 4-2 with a 3.27 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits in 6 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies. They scored 18 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 20 runs against them averaging 5 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Marlins vs Braves Prediction

The Braves are coming into this game as a big favorite with the current betting odds. The Braves have won 3 of their last 4 games and have been playing very well recently as they have been starting to heat up, scoring more runs in their last few games. They are going up against a Marlins team that has not been playing well recently, losing their last 3 straight and they also lost a series to the Braves just last week as well. Hernandez is starting for the Marlins here and he has not been good this season as he has allowed a lot of runs in his recent starts. Fried is on the mound for the Braves here and he has been great all season and will likely keep an injured Marlins lineup from scoring many runs here while the Braves offense continues to heat up. The best bet here is on the Braves to win this game.
 
Marlins Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, May 29, 2022 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Braves 5 Marlins 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Miami Marlins: 68-116 (-16.7 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 118-152 (-14.2 Units) ML in all games. 35-27 OVER as a road underdog of +150 or more.
Atlanta Braves: 116-71 (+6.5 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 164-131 (+4.1 Units) ML in all games. 26-17 OVER in all games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Miami Marlins:  J. Chisholm Jr. (SS) Out Fri - Hamstring. J. Wendle (2B) Early June - Hamstring. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Atlanta Braves:  T. Matzek (RP) Mid June - Shoulder. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It looked like he had a little bit of hesitation. I know Dansby ran through the stop sign. ... I don't know if he saw it, too." - Don Mattingly after his team’s loss against the Braves on Friday.
 
 
"Those kind of wins can just be so good for a club's psyche." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Marlins on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Miami Marlins
Jon Berti (R) 2B
Garrett Cooper (R) 1B
Jorge Soler (R) LF
Jesus Aguilar (R) DH
Brian Anderson (R) RF
Joey Wendle (L) 3B
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Jacob Stallings (R) C
Bryan De La Cruz (R) CF
 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) DH
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Marcell Ozuna (R) LF
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
William Contreras (R) C
Adam Duvall (R) RF
Michael Harris II (L) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Miami Marlins
Batting Average:  Joe Dunand (.300)
Hits:  Jesus Aguilar (41)
Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (9)
RBI:  Jazz Chisholm (27)
Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (6)
Wins:  Pablo Lopez (4)
Saves:  Anthony Bender (6)
ERA:  Daniel Castano (0.00)
 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Orlando Arcia (.318)
Hits:  Ozzie Albies (45)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (10)
RBI:  Dansby Swanson (23)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (8)
Wins:  Max Fried (4)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (11)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Managers:
Miami Marlins: Don Mattingly (7th season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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