by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 17, 2025
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 22, 2025
Venue: Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Miami-FL -17.5, VA Tech +17.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Miami-FL -17, VA Tech +17; Over/Under: 48.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Miami-FL -16.5, VA Tech +16.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Season Record
Miami Hurricanes: 8-2 (4-2) (5th place, ACC)
Virginia Tech Hokies: 3-7 (2-4) (13th place, ACC)
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Recent Form
Miami Hurricanes: won their last game at home against the North Carolina State Wolfpack 41-7.
Virginia Tech Hokies: lost their last game on the road against the Florida State Seminoles 34-14.
Miami Hurricanes vs Virginia Tech Hokies Preview and Analysis
Miami-Florida is entering this game with an 8-2 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their conference games too. They are 7-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against NC State 41-7. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 21/27 passes for 291 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Girard Pringle Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 116. Keelan Marion led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Akheem Mesidor led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Akheem Mesidor led the defense in sacks with 1. Jakobe Thomas came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that one.
Virginia Tech is entering this game with a 3-7 record overall and they have a 2-4 record in their conference games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Florida State 34-14. Kyron Drones was the starting QB and he completed 10/18 passes for 125 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Marcellous Hawkins led the team in rushing yards with 101. Ayden Greene led the receivers with 39 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Caleb Woodson led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Mandrell Desir led the defense in sacks with 1. Jerry Wilson came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Miami vs Virginia Tech Prediction
The current betting odds have Miami listed as a 17.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Miami has looked really good in their games this season with their 8-2 record overall and their 4-2 conference record which has them in the top half of the ACC. Their 2 conference losses will likely keep them out of the ACC Championship game unless they get a miracle, but they are still the highest ranked team in the ACC. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech has looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-7 record overall and their 2-4 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the ACC. Their season has been a disaster and they fired their head coach very early in the year. Their offense has been really up and down all season with Drones not having a great year, and they are off another bad loss in their last one, losing to Florida State 34-14. They have looked better on their home field with their 2-4 home record this season, but that still isn't great and they also have a defense that has been giving up a ton of points. Miami has stumbled in the conference, but they still look like the best team in the ACC when they are at their best and they can't afford to lose anymore games since they are still trying to make a case as a playoff team. Miami needs a really strong finish to the season if they want to have any chance at sneaking into the CFP so look for Miami to continue rolling here as they have been blowing out opponents lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Miami to cover the spread in this game.
Miami Virginia Tech Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 22, 2025 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Miami 45 VA Tech 10.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Miami Hurricanes: 9-3 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more. 9-3 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 7-3 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 6-2 UNDER after a 2 game home stand. 4-1 UNDER off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more.
Virginia Tech Hokies: 4-10 ATS as an underdog. 1-5 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 10-4 UNDER as an underdog. 6-2 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.
Key Injuries
Miami Hurricanes: M. Newton (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Blay Jr. (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Ewald Jr. (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Schott (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Scott (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Johnson (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Fletcher Jr. (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. O. Frederique Jr. (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Bryant (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Nickel (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Lowe (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Virginia Tech Hokies: G. Williams (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Wiggins (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. Q. Reddish (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Meadows (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Jennette (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Hobbs (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Henderson (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Hanchuk (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Cunningham (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Crim (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Clarke (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Brown (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. Booker (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Bennett (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Adams (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“The way you play the game, it screams, right? Loudly." - Mario Cristobal after his team’s win against NC State in their last game.
“I was proud of the way we established the run. I thought we were a little bit more balanced tonight. And, you know, I was proud of how hard those guys continued to play.” - Philip Montgomery after his team’s loss against FSU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Hurricanes
WR Marion, Keelan
WR Daniels, CJ
WR Toney, Malachi
TE Bauman, Alex
QB Beck, Carson
RB Fletcher Jr., Mark
Virginia Tech Hokies
WR Greene, Donavon
WR Greene, Ayden
WR Seldon, Cameron
TE Gosnell, Benji
QB Drones, Kyron
RB Hawkins, Marcellous
Statistical Leaders
Miami Hurricanes
Passing: Carson Beck (2,485)
Rushing: Mark Fletcher Jr. (636)
Receiving: Malachi Toney (698)
Touchdowns: Mark Fletcher Jr. (9)
Virginia Tech Hokies
Passing: Kyron Drones (1,717)
Rushing: Marcellous Hawkins (677)
Receiving: Ayden Greene (421)
Touchdowns: Kyron Drones (9)
Coaches:
Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (4th season)
Virginia Tech Hokies: Philip Montgomery (Interim)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
