by Rod Pearson
Monday, Oct 24, 2022
Game Time: 12:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 29, 2022
Venue: Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA
Where to Watch: RSN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Miami-FL -2.5, UVA +2.5; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Miami-FL -2, UVA +2; Over/Under: 47.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Miami-FL -2.5, UVA +2.5; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Season Record
Miami Hurricanes: 3-4 (1-2) (5th place, ACC Coastal)
Virginia Cavaliers: 3-4 (1-3) (6th place, ACC Coastal)
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Recent Form
Miami Hurricanes: lost their last game at home against the Duke Blue Devils 45-21.
Virginia Cavaliers: won their last game on the road against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 16-9.
Miami Hurricanes vs Virginia Cavaliers Preview and Analysis
Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 3-4 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 1-1 in their road games this year. This will also be their 4th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 1-2. They lost against the Duke Blue Devils in their last game at home 45-21. Tyler Van Dyke started that game at QB and he completed 11/16 passes for 81 yards and 1 touchdown while Jake Garcia came into the game and completed 13/21 passes for 198 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Henry Parrish Jr. led the team in rushing with 63 yards on 11 rushing attempts. Colbie Young led the team in receiving with 127 yards and 2 TDs on 6 receptions. DJ Ivey led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Darrell Jackson, Jared Harrison-Hunte, and Caleb Johnson each led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Virginia is entering this game with a 3-4 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th home game of the season as they are 2-1 in their home games this year. This will also be the 5th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 1-3. They won against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in their last game on the road 16-9. Brennan Armstrong started that game at QB and he completed 20/35 passes for 255 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Brennan Armstrong also led the team in rushing with 91 yards and 1 TD on 13 carries. Dontayvion Wicks led the team in receiving with 99 yards and 1 TD on 4 receptions. Nick Jackson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Nick Jackson, Chico Bennett, Jr., and Paul Akere each led the defense in sacks with 2 while Coen King came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Miami vs Virginia Prediction
The current betting odds have Miami listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Miami has looked really bad in their games lately as they have taken some really bad losses to bad teams, even getting blown out in a few of those. They are going to be looking to bounce back in this game though and they are just a much better team than Virginia. Virginia has also been really bad in their games this year. Virginia has had some big problems on offense this season as they struggle to score many points in their games and that is going to make itself apparent in this game. Virginia just pulled off a win in their last game but won 16-9 in a very defensive game and against GA Tech who has a really bad team this year. Virginia does have a good defense but they won't be able to stop this Miami offense for the entire game and Miami will score points here. Miami also has a good defense though and with Virginia's offense performing the way it has been this year, they are going to struggle a lot to score on this Miami defense. This is a great game for Miami to bounce back here after a string of bad games. The best way to place a bet here is on Miami to cover the spread in this game.
Miami Virginia Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 29, 2022 (12:30 pm ET start time) is Miami 23 Virginia 9.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Miami Hurricanes: 1-6 ATS in all games. 1-5 ATS as a favorite. 40-24 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3.
Virginia Cavaliers: 24-17 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 8-2 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games. 110-75 UNDER against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Miami Hurricanes: H. Parrish Jr. (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. E. Arroyo (TE) out for season - Undisclosed. X. Restrepo (WR) Mid Nov - Foot.
Virginia Cavaliers: R. Walker Jr. (RB) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. M. Fields (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot. A. Foston (RB) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"Not good. Not a good performance, in every respect." - Mario Cristobal after his team’s loss against Duke in their last game.
"We came out of the gate and we're moving and then we fumbled the ball and take a shot down the field right off the fingertips, and I'm really proud of the guys offensively to how they responded to adversity. It's just a mindset that it takes. It's all about how you respond." - Tony Elliott after his team’s win against GA Tech in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Hurricanes
WR Smith, Key'Shawn
WR Redding III, Michael
WR Smith, Brashard
TE Mallory, Will
QB Van Dyke, Tyler
RB Parrish Jr., Henry
Virginia Cavaliers
WR Wicks, Dontayvion
WR Davis Jr., Lavel
WR Thompson, Keytaon
TE Misch, Grant
QB Armstrong, Brennan
RB Jones, Perris
Statistical Leaders
Miami Hurricanes
Passing: T. Van Dyke (1729)
Rushing: H. Parrish Jr. (429)
Receiving: W. Mallory (349)
Touchdowns: H. Parrish Jr. (6)
Virginia Cavaliers
Passing: B. Armstrong (1618)
Rushing: P. Jones (337)
Receiving: K. Thompson (538)
Touchdowns: P. Jones (4)
Coaches:
Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (1st season)
Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Elliott (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
