Miami Hurricanes vs USC Trojans Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/18/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Mar 17, 2022
Game Time: 3:10 pm ET, Friday, March 18, 2022
Venue:  Bon Secours Wellness Arena, Greenville, SC
Where to Watch:  TruTV

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Miami +2, USC -2; Over/Under:  140.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Miami +1.5, USC -1.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Miami +1.5, USC -1.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points
 

Season Record

Miami Hurricanes:  23-10 (4th place, ACC)
USC Trojans:  26-7 (3rd place, Pac-12)
 
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Miami Hurricanes vs USC Trojans Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Miami Hurricanes:  3-2 last 5
USC Trojans:  2-3 last 5
 
 
 

Miami Hurricanes Analysis

Miami is coming into this game with a 23-10 record overall and they are 3-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 3 game winning streak that they were on. Their 3 wins in that span were against the Boston College Eagles, the Syracuse Orange, and Boston College again while their loss came against the Duke Blue Devils in their last game. Kameron McGusty led the team in points in that game with 24 while Jordan Miller was next on the team with 17 points. Charlie Moore led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Miller led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 47% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 50% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71 PPG against them. Miami has an ATS record of 18-15 this season and their O/U record is 20-13.
 
 

USC Trojans Analysis

USC is coming into this game with a 26-7 record overall and they are 4-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Washington Huskies while their 3 losses in that span came against the Arizona Wildcats, the UCLA Bruins, and UCLA again in their last game. Boogie Ellis led the team in points in that game with 27 while Drew Peterson was next on the team with 11 points. Isaiah Mobley, Max Agbonkpolo, Peterson, Ellis, Kobe Johnson, and Ethan Anderson all led the team in assists in that game with 1 each while Mobley and Chevez Goodwin both led the team in rebounds with 7 each. They were 39.6% from the field, 38.9% from 3-point range, and 62.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 72.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.9 PPG against them. USC has an ATS record of 15-18 this season and their O/U record is 14-17-2.
 

 

Miami vs USC Prediction

USC is coming into this game as a 2 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. USC has not been playing well recently with 3 losses in their last 4 games but all 3 of their losses came against ranked opponents, including 2 losses coming against the same team. They were struggling in their games prior to those losses though as well. They were still winning a lot of games but they were just getting by bad teams by a few points and with how they have been playing recently, they are not likely to make a deep run into this tourney. They are going up against a Miami side that has won 3 of their last 4 games but have not really beaten any good teams in that span and the games they lost were against much better teams in their conference. Both of these teams have been struggling in their recent games and neither is likely to make a deep run here but USC is the better team of the two and they were a lot more consistent during the season. USC should edge Miami out in this game and cover the spread here.
 
Miami USC Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 18, 2022 (3:10 pm ET start time) is USC 82 Miami 76.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Miami Hurricanes: 14-21 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 11-2 OVER in all neutral court games. 12-4 OVER in a NCAA tournament games.
USC Trojans: 15-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 8-1 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more. 14-9 OVER after 2 or more consecutive unders.
 

Key Injuries

 
Miami Hurricanes:  H. Beverly (G) out for season - Back injury.
USC Trojans:  I. White (G) Ques Fri - Wrist injury. R. Dixon-Waters (G) Ques Fri - Groin injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We normally are a 70-75% free-throw shooting team and we missed some early. That obviously made a difference. But our guys played as hard as they possibly can." - Jim Larranaga on his team’s loss against Duke in the ACC tourney.
 
 
"Unfortunately, we couldn't keep up with the scoring even though it was a low-scoring game. We had our chances, but some of the shots went in and out. It puts a lot of pressure on your defense when you can't score the ball when you need to." - Andy Enfield on his team’s loss against UCLA in the Pac-12 tourney.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Miami Hurricanes
K McGusty 
J. Miller 
C. Moore 
S. Waardenburg 
I. Wong 
 
USC Trojans
M. Agbonkpolo 
B. Ellis 
C. Goodwin 
I. Mobley 
D. Peterson
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Miami Hurricanes
PPG: K. McGusty (17.5)
APG: C. Moore (4.3)
Reb/G: J. Miller (6)
 
USC Trojans
PPG: I. Mobley (14.6)
APG: D. Peterson (3.4)
Reb/G: I. Mobley (8.5)
 
Coaches:
Miami Hurricanes: Jim Larranaga (11th season)
USC Trojans: Andy Enfield (9th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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