by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 24, 2025
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 29, 2025
Venue: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Miami-FL -7, Pittsburgh +7; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Miami-FL -6.5, Pittsburgh +6.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Miami-FL -6.5, Pittsburgh +6.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Season Record
Miami Hurricanes: 9-2 (5-2) (5th place, ACC)
Pittsburgh Panthers: 8-3 (6-1) (2nd place, ACC)
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Recent Form
Miami Hurricanes: won their last game on the road against the Virginia Tech Hokies 34-17.
Pittsburgh Panthers: won their last game on the road against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 42-28.
Miami Hurricanes vs Pittsburgh Panthers Preview and Analysis
Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 9-2 record overall and they have a 5-2 record in their conference games too. They are 7-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Virginia Tech 34-17. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 27/32 passes for 320 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Girard Pringle Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 49. Malachi Toney led the receivers with 146 receiving yards on 12 receptions and 1 TD. Ahmad Moten Sr. led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Ahmad Moten Sr. led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Pittsburgh is entering this game with an 8-3 record overall and they have a 6-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Georgia Tech 42-28. Mason Heintschel was the starting QB and he completed 20/27 passes for 226 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ja'Kyrian Turner led the team in rushing yards with 201 and 1 TD. Kenny Johnson led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Rasheem Biles led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Kyle Louis led the defense in sacks with 1. Kavir Bains-Marquez and Braylan Lovelace each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Miami vs Pittsburgh Prediction
The current betting odds have Miami listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Miami has looked good in their games this season with their 9-2 record overall and their 5-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the ACC. They don't have a good chance of going to the ACC Championship at all, yet they are still the highest ranked ACC team. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has looked good in their games this season with their 8-3 record overall and their 6-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the ACC. They are off a big road win over Georgia Tech in their last one, a win which pretty much ended GA Tech's chance at the ACC Championship, and now Pitt has a chance to go themselves with a win in this game. They are off a 42-28 road win over GA Tech, but they did get embarrassed by Notre Dame the week before. Miami is off a 34-17 win over Virginia Tech in their last one, but they are in a very interesting situation. They would need a miracle to make the ACC Championship, yet they are still the highest ranked ACC team and they are the team from the ACC with the best chance at making the CFP due to their quality win over Notre Dame. Pittsburgh is going to bring their best effort with what's on the line here, but Miami is also going to show up in a big way as they are still trying to make a case for the playoffs. Pitt did look great last week, but that was a GA Tech team that was playing with fire all season and Miami still has a lot more talent on their team. This is Miami's last chance to really show why they are the best team in the ACC despite their conference record so look for Miami to win big in this final game of the regular season. The best way to place a bet here is on Miami to cover the spread in this game.
Miami Pittsburgh Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 29, 2025 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Miami 37 Pittsburgh 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Miami Hurricanes: 4-9 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 2-5 ATS off a road win. 22-14 OVER in all lined games. 7-4 OVER as a road favorite. 6-3 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).
Pittsburgh Panthers: 13-6 ATS in home lined games. 9-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. 5-1 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 8-3 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att.
Key Injuries
Miami Hurricanes: J. Thomas (CB) Questionable - Arm. K. Scott (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Schott (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Johnson (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Wiley Jr. (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Blay Jr. (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Bryant (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Nickel (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Lowe (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Pittsburgh Panthers: S. FitzSimmons (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Cook (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Davis Jr. (RB) Out - Knee. T. Butkowski (K) Questionable - Illness. N. Lapi (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. N. Maynard (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Reid (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Brown (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Carretta (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Crothers (DL) Out - Undisclosed. K. Gouveia (OG) Out - Leg. J. Marcelin (LB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Bonsu (LB) Out - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“All in all, we had control of the game from the beginning all the way till the end. I’m really proud of our guys.” - Mario Cristobal after his team’s win against VA Tech in their last game.
“Incredible job by our guys going on the road against a really good football team. It’s not easy on the road anywhere in the ACC, and to come out and do that was great.” - Pat Narduzzi after his team’s win against GA Tech in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Hurricanes
WR Marion, Keelan
WR Daniels, CJ
WR Toney, Malachi
TE Bauman, Alex
QB Beck, Carson
RB Fletcher Jr., Mark
Pittsburgh Panthers
WR Johnson, Kenny
WR Hicks, Cataurus
WR Williams Jr., Raphael
TE Overman, Jake
QB Heintschel, Mason
RB Reid, Desmond
Statistical Leaders
Miami Hurricanes
Passing: Carson Beck (2,805)
Rushing: Mark Fletcher Jr. (655)
Receiving: Malachi Toney (844)
Touchdowns: Mark Fletcher Jr. (10)
Pittsburgh Panthers
Passing: Mason Heintschel (1,899)
Rushing: Ja'Kyrian Turner (615)
Receiving: Kenny Johnson (691)
Touchdowns: Ja'Kyrian Turner (7)
Coaches:
Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (4th season)
Pittsburgh Panthers: Pat Narduzzi (11th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
