Miami Hurricanes vs Pittsburgh Panthers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/30/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 30, 2021
Venue:  Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA 
Where to Watch:  ACC Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Miami +9, Pittsburgh -9; Over/Under:  62 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Miami +9.5, Pittsburgh -9.5; Over/Under:  61 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Miami +9.5, Pittsburgh -9.5; Over/Under:  61 points

Season Record

Miami Hurricanes:  3-4 (5th place, ACC Coastal)
Pittsburgh Panthers:  6-1 (1st place, ACC Coastal)
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Miami Hurricanes vs Pittsburgh Panthers Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Miami Hurricanes:  won at home on Oct. 23 against the NC State Wolfpack 31-30.
Pittsburgh Panthers:  won at home on Oct. 23 against the Clemson Tigers 27-17.

Miami Hurricanes Analysis

Miami-FL is coming into this game Saturday with a 3-4 record overall and they are 0-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 4th conference matchup of the year and they are off to a rough start with a 1-2 record in their 3 conference games of the season. Their 2 losses came against the Virginia Cavaliers and the North Carolina Tar Heels while their 1 win came against the North Carolina State Wolfpack in their last game. That win snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. That game was close the whole way and eventually came down to a walk-off field goal giving Miami the win in that game. Tyler Van Dyke played a good game in that one as he completed 25/33 passes for 325 yards and 4 touchdowns. Jaylan Knighton led the team in rushing with 83 yards on 21 carries but he was basically their entire run game in that one. Charleston Rambo had a nice day as he led the receivers with 127 yards and 2 touchdowns on 9 receptions while Knighton also had 83 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 6 receptions. Will Mallory caught the other touchdown pass in that game. Kamren Kinchens and Isaiah Dunson both led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles. Bubba Bolden recorded the only sack in that game while no one on the defense was able to come away with an interception in that one. They have scored 225 points in their 7 games this season averaging 32.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 210 points against them allowing 30 PPG. Their offense is averaging 433.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 390.1 YPG.

Pittsburgh Panthers Analysis

Pittsburgh is coming into this college football game with a 6-1 record overall and they are 3-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 4th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are in a great position with a 3-0 record in their conference games this season. Their 3 wins came against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, the Virginia Tech Hokies, and against Clemson in their last game. Clemson took the lead in the first quarter of that game but it was all Pittsburgh from that point on as they took the lead in the second quarter of that game and never gave it back. They are coming into this game riding a 4 game winning streak. Kenny Pickett played great in their last game as he completed 25/39 passes for 302 yards, 2 touchdowns and no turnovers. Rodney Hammond Jr. had a team-high in rushing in that game with 66 yards and 11 carries while Israel Abanikanda had 9 carries for 56 yards. Jordan Addison led the receivers with 84 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions. Taysir Mack caught the other TD pass in that game. Brandon Hill led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Habakkuk Baldonado led the defense in sacks with the only 1 recorded in that game while Damarri Mathis and SirVocea Dennis both came away with 1 interception each in that one. They have scored 317 points in their 7 games this season averaging 45.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 137 points against them allowing 19.6 PPG. Pittsburgh’s offense is averaging 520.9 YPG while Pittsburgh’s defense is allowing 318.7 YPG.


Miami vs Pittsburgh Prediction

The Pittsburgh odds coming into this game have the best available odds listed as a 9-point favorite and the point total set at 62 with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. They have been playing very well in their conference games so far going undefeated in them, all of those wins coming by double-digits and 2 of those games were on the road. Miami have come very close in their conference games with 1 win by 1 point and 2 losses by 3 points or less in each. They were at home for 2 of those games and now they will be on the road for this one against a very good Pittsburgh team on both sides of the ball. The best bet to place in this game is on Pittsburgh to cover the spread here as they are just a much better team and Miami is bound to get blown out sooner or later with the way they have been playing on defense in their games, this is the spot.
Miami Pittsburgh Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 30, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Pittsburgh 38 Miami 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

Miami betting trends: 24-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 46-38 ATS as an underdog. 26-21 ATS as a road underdog. 81-65 ATS in road games. 
Pittsburgh betting trends: 167-173 ATS in all games. 80-89 ATS as a favorite. 46-56 ATS as a home favorite. 84-88 ATS in home games. 

Key Injuries

Miami Hurricanes:  D. Chaney Jr. (RB) out for season - Leg injury. B. Bolden (S) out for season - Shoulder injury. A. Blades Jr. (CB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Pittsburgh Panthers:  I. Abanikanda (RB) Prob Sat - Concussion. J. Addison (WR) Ques Sat - Concussion. G. Carrigan (TE) Out indefinitely - Leg injury.

Notable Quotes

"How about Tyler Van Dyke? I mean, it's unbelievable. Third conference game. And that defense is a hell of a defense. I mean, no one moves the ball on them." - Manny Diaz on the performance of his quarterback Tyler Van Dyke in their last game after they upset NC State.
“We got really three backs, might have two this week, that we really have a lot of trust in.” - Pat Narduzzi on his team’s running back situation.

Starting Lineups

Miami Hurricanes
WR KeyShawn Smith
WR Rambo, Charleston 
WR Mike Harley
TE Mallory, Will 
QB Van Dyke, Tyler 
RB Knighton, Jaylan 
Pittsburgh Panthers
WR Taysir Mack
WR Jacques-Louis, Shocky 
WR Addison, Jordan 
TE Krull, Lucas 
QB Pickett, Kenny 
RB Abanikanda, Israel 

Statistical Leaders

Miami Hurricanes
Passing: T. Van Dyke (1062)
Rushing: C. Harris (409)
Receiving: C. Rambo (549)
Touchdowns: C. Harris (5)
Pittsburgh Panthers
Passing: K. Pickett (2236)
Rushing: I. Abanikanda (403)
Receiving: J. Addison (670)
Touchdowns: J. Addison (10)
Miami Hurricanes: Manny Diaz (3rd season)
Pittsburgh Panthers: Pat Narduzzi (7th season)

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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