Miami Hurricanes vs Mississippi Rebels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/08/2026

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, January 8, 2026

Venue:  State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Miami-FL -3, Ole Miss +3; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Miami-FL -3, Ole Miss +3; Over/Under:  51.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Miami-FL -3, Ole Miss +3; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Miami Hurricanes:  12-2 (6-2) (3rd place, ACC)

Mississippi Rebels:  13-1 (7-1) (3rd place, SEC)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Jim Feist is on a HOT STREAK in college football on a 16-5 CFB RUN for +$10,420 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Miami Hurricanes:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Ohio State Buckeyes 24-14.

Mississippi Rebels:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Georgia Bulldogs 39-34.

Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 12-2 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 7-1 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, and they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Ohio State 24-14. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 19/26 passes for 138 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Mark Fletcher Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 90. CJ Daniels led the receivers with 49 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Mohamed Toure led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Akheem Mesidor led the defense in sacks with 2. Jakobe Thomas and Keionte Scott each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Ole Miss is entering this game with a 13-1 record overall and they have a 7-1 record in their conference games too. They are 9-0 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Georgia 39-34. Trinidad Chambliss was the starting QB and he completed 30/46 passes for 362 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kewan Lacy led the team in rushing yards with 98 and 2 TDs. Harrison Wallace III led the receivers with 156 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Zxavian Harris led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Suntarine Perkins and Kam Franklin each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Ole Miss listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Ole Miss has looked great in their games this season with their 13-1 record overall and their 7-1 conference record which had them right near the top of the SEC. They are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this year and will be playing in the Fiesta Bowl in this game. Meanwhile, Miami has looked great in their games this season with their 12-2 record overall and their 6-2 conference record which had them right near the top of the SEC. They are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season. Both of these teams missed out on their respective Conference Championships, but both have pulled off upsets in these playoffs. Miami's journey started with an upset win over Texas A&M on the road and now they are off another upset win over Ohio State. Their defense has looked great in these games and they haven't been giving up many points lately at all, but their offense hasn't looked great. They have struggled to put up points and move the ball in both playoff games so far, and Ole Miss definitely has the advantage here with their QB. Ole Miss has been the opposite in these games with their defense not looking great as they have given up a ton of points, but their offense has been rolling and has looked great all season. They started the playoffs with an easier game at home against Tulane, but they pulled off an upset win over Georgia in their last one. Their offense has been rolling lately and the key difference maker in this game is going to be the better QB play from Chambliss as he has looked like one of the best QB's in the nation all year. The best way to place a bet here is on Ole Miss to cover the spread in this game. 

Miami Mississippi Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Thursday, January 8, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Ole Miss 31 Miami 28.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Miami Hurricanes Mississippi Rebels prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

Miami Hurricanes: 13-4 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 11-4 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 11-5 ATS in non-conference games. 9-5 UNDER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 9-3 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.

Mississippi Rebels: 1-4 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 5-11 ATS at home off an upset win as an underdog. 1-3 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 4-0 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 18-10 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest.

Miami Hurricanes:  D. Simpson (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Bryant (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Upshaw (WR) Questionable - Foot. D. Brown (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Mississippi Rebels:  C. Beavers (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Saunders Jr. (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Collins (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

“It is 100% not about me. I’m part of their team, I’m a part of that family. It is my obligation as a former Miami Hurricane player and all the things that Miami did for my brother and I to do my best to try to provide these guys with even better opportunities so they can fulfill all the great things they are destined for.” - Mario Cristobal after his team’s win against Ohio State in the Cotton Bowl.

“We’ve got a lot of good coaches. A lot of guys have been going through a lot of things but they’ve been here for the kids the whole time. And this is a special group of kids.” - Pete Golding after his team’s win against Georgia in the Sugar Bowl.

WR Marion, Keelan

WR Daniels, CJ

WR Toney, Malachi 

TE Bauman, Alex

QB Beck, Carson

RB Fletcher Jr., Mark

WR Stribling, De'Zhaun

WR Wallace III, Harrison

WR Lee, Cayden

TE Wright, Dae'Quan

QB Chambliss, Trinidad

RB Lacy, Kewan

Passing: Carson Beck (3,313)

Rushing: Mark Fletcher Jr. (947)

Receiving: Malachi Toney (1,008)

Touchdowns: Mark Fletcher Jr. (12)

Passing: Trinidad Chambliss (3,660)

Rushing: Kewan Lacy (1,464)

Receiving: Harrison Wallace III (894)

Touchdowns: Kewan Lacy (23)

Coaches:

Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (4th season)

Mississippi Rebels: Pete Golding (Interim)