Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 13, 2021
Venue: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Miami -3, FSU +3; Over/Under: 61 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Miami -2.5, FSU +2.5; Over/Under: 61 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Miami -2.5, FSU +2.5; Over/Under: 60.5 points
Miami Hurricanes: 5-4 (3rd place, ACC Coastal)
Florida State Seminoles: 3-6 (6th place, ACC Atlantic)
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Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles Preview and Analysis
Miami Hurricanes: won at home on Nov. 6 against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 33-30.
Florida State Seminoles: lost at home on Nov. 6 against the NC State Wolfpack 28-14.
Miami Hurricanes Analysis
Miami is coming into this game with a 5-4 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 6th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 3-2 in their conference games this season. They are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Tyler Van Dyke played a great game in their last one as he completed 22/34 passes for 389 yards and 3 touchdowns. Jaylan Knighton had a very nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 162 yards and 1 touchdown on 32 carries. Charleston Rambo also had a very nice day as he led the receivers with 210 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions. Mike Harley and Keyshawn Smith both caught the other touchdown passes in that one with 1 each. Tyrique Stevenson led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones along with 0.5 sacks. Deandre Johnson and Zach McCloud both led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while Avantae Williams came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 296 points in their 9 games this season averaging 32.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 274 points against them allowing 30.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 454 YPG while their defense is allowing 405.2 YPG.
Florida State Seminoles Analysis
FSU is coming into this game with a 3-6 record overall and they are 2-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 7th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 2-4 in their conference games this season. They are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. McKenzie Milton struggled in their last game as he completed 22/44 passes for 233 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Jashaun Corbin led the team in rushing with 33 yards and 1 touchdown on 14 carries but they did not really get much of a run game going in that one. Keyshawn Helton led the receivers with 49 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions while Andrew Parchment had 45 yards on 4 receptions. Jammie Robinson led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones while Amari Gainer was right behind him with 7 solo tackles. Keir Thomas led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 while Robinson came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 253 points in their 9 games this season averaging 28.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 243 points against them allowing 27 PPG. Their offense is averaging 377.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 388.8 YPG.
Miami vs Florida State Prediction
Miami is coming into this game as a 3 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Miami has been playing much better in their recent games than they were at the beginning of the season and they look like a much improved team as they have been consistent in their last 3 games winning all of them. FSU is still very inconsistent in their games and they have not played well all season. They had a 3 game stretch where they were playing well but that has faded now and they have regressed back to their poor play. The best bet to place in this game is on Miami to cover the spread here as these two teams are trending in opposite directions and Miami will just keep improving more each week until the season ends.
Miami Florida State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 13, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Miami 35 FSU 14.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Miami Hurricanes: 24-39 O/U when the line is +3 to -3. 128-166 O/U in all games. 19-32 O/U when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 89-123 O/U as a favorite. 32-47 O/U as a road favorite. 60-68 O/U in road games. 79-101 O/U against conference opponents.
Florida State Seminoles: 16-25 O/U when the line is +3 to -3. 141-151 O/U in all games. 26-36 O/U when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 85-92 O/U against conference opponents.
Miami Hurricanes: O. Traore (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. B. Jennings Jr. (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. G. Hall Jr. (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Florida State Seminoles: S. Williams (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. T. Jay (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Travis (QB) Ques Sat - Illness.
"What they've learned is they can manage any situation." - Manny Diaz on their win over GT in their last game.
"Liked the response that I saw from our guys. Unfortunately, we weren't able to finish it off there in the fourth." - Mike Norvell on their loss against NC State in their last game.
WR KeyShawn Smith
WR Rambo, Charleston
WR Mike Harley
TE Mallory, Will
QB Van Dyke, Tyler
RB Knighton, Jaylan
Florida State Seminoles
WR Keyshawn Helton
WR Wilson, Ontaria
WR McClain, Malik
TE McDonald, Camren
QB Jordan Travis
RB Corbin, Jashaun
RB Treshaun Ward
Statistical Leaders (Stats)
Passing: T. Van Dyke (1877)
Rushing: J. Knighton (461)
Receiving: C. Rambo (860)
Touchdowns: C. Harris (5)
Florida State Seminoles
Passing: J. Travis (812)
Rushing: J. Corbin (747)
Receiving: K. Helton (269)
Touchdowns: J. Corbin (6)
Miami Hurricanes: Manny Diaz (3rd season)
Florida State Seminoles: Mike Norvell (2nd season)