Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 11, 2022
Venue: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center, Tallahassee, FL
Where to Watch: ACC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Miami +6, FSU -6; Over/Under: 149.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Miami +6, FSU -6; Over/Under: 149.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Miami +6.5, FSU -6.5; Over/Under: 151.5 points
Season Record
Miami Hurricanes: 13-3 (1st place, ACC)
Florida State Seminoles: 8-5 (9th place, ACC)
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Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Miami Hurricanes: 5-0 last 5
Florida State Seminoles: 3-2 last 5
Miami Hurricanes Analysis
Miami is coming into this game with a 13-3 record overall and they are 3-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 6th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 5-0 in their conference games this season. Their last loss was against the Alabama Crimson Tide but they have gone on a 9 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Penn State Nittany Lions, the Clemson Tigers, the Lipscomb Bisons, the Fordham Rams, the Stetson Hatters, the North Carolina State Wolfpack, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, the Syracuse Orange, and the Duke Blue Devils in their last game. Charlie Moore led the team in points in that game with 18 while Jordan Miller was next on the team with 17 points. Sam Waardenburg led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Wooga Poplar led the team in rebounds off the bench with 6. They were 45.7% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 73.8 PPG against them. Miami has an ATS record of 7-9 this season and their O/U record is 11-5.
Florida State Seminoles Analysis
FSU is coming into this game with an 8-5 record overall and they are 5-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 5th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 2-2 in their conference games this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons while their 3 wins in that span came against the Lipscomb Bisons, the NC State Wolfpack, and the Louisville Cardinals in their last game. Caleb Mills led the team in points in that game with 27 while Matthew Cleveland was next on the team off the bench with 17 points. Anthony Polite and Jalen Warley both led the team in assists in that game with 3 each while Polite led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 45.8% from the field, 34.8% from 3-point range, and 60.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 73.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.2 PPG against them. FSU has an ATS record of 5-8 this season and their O/U record is 7-6.
Miami vs Florida State Prediction
Miami is coming into this contest as a 6 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Miami has been having a great season and they have been playing very well in their recent games winning 9 straight. They have a perfect 5-0 in record in their conference games this season and they are even 3-0 on the road as well. They are coming off of a massive upset win on the road over Duke, one of the best teams in the nation, and they are going to have a lot of confidence coming into this game. FSU has not been playing well this season and they have been struggling to get by recently, just barely winning in the games they do win in. The best bet to place in this game is on Miami to cover the spread here as they have been playing much better and have a good chance at winning this game.
Miami Florida State Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, January 11, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Miami 68 FSU 65.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Miami Hurricanes: 19-14 O/U after a game with 9 or less assists. 11-5 O/U in all games. 10-3 O/U when playing only their 3rd game in a week. 18-10 O/U after 1 or more consecutive unders. 5-1 O/U after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games. 25-11 O/U after 1 or more consecutive wins.
Florida State Seminoles: 43-27 O/U in all games. 25-10 O/U in all home games. 29-13 O/U against conference opponents. 13-2 O/U in January games. 29-12 O/U after a conference game. 29-14 O/U when playing only their 2nd game in a week. 23-9 O/U off a home win.
Key Injuries
Miami Hurricanes: H. Beverly (G) out for season - Back injury. R. Miller Jr. (C) Mid Jan - Groin injury.
Florida State Seminoles: T. Ngom (C) Mid Jan - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
"We're the real deal. And I think everybody saw that tonight. We can play with anybody. We can compete with anybody. We can beat anybody. It's finally good to see all that hard work paying off." - Kameron McGusty on their win against Duke.
“Our ball screen this system has worked real well but we've always had a big guy we can throw the ball to. That created problems for our opponents and right now, not that we don't have the guy, it's just that's not who we are now and we have to grow and develop.” - Leonard Hamilton on his team’s loss against Wake Forest.
Starting Lineups
Miami Hurricanes
K McGusty
J. Miller
C. Moore
S. Waardenburg
I. Wong
Florida State Seminoles
J. Butler
R. Evans
C. Mills
Malik Osborne
A. Polite
Statistical Leaders
Miami Hurricanes
PPG: K. McGusty (18.1)
APG: C. Moore (3.8)
Reb/G: K. McGusty (5.8)
Florida State Seminoles
PPG: C. Mills (13.2)
APG: A. Polite (2.9)
Reb/G: M. Osborne (7.2)
Coaches:
Miami Hurricanes: Jim Larranaga (11th season)
Florida State Seminoles: Leonard Hamilton (20th season)