by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Thursday, Nov 25, 2021
Game Time: 12:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 27, 2021
Venue: Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC
Where to Watch: RSN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Miami -21, Duke +21; Over/Under: 68 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Miami -21.5, Duke +21.5; Over/Under: 68.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Miami -21.5, Duke +21.5; Over/Under: 68.5 points
Season Record
Miami Hurricanes: 6-5 (3rd place, ACC Coastal)
Duke Blue Devils: 3-8 (7th place, ACC Coastal)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Larry Ness has a CFB record of 14-5 CFB in Nov / 50-31-2, +$14,811 YTD! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Miami Hurricanes vs Duke Blue Devils Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Miami Hurricanes: won at home on Nov. 20 against the Virginia Tech Hokies 38-26.
Duke Blue Devils: lost at home on Nov. 18 against the Louisville Cardinals 62-22.
Miami Hurricanes Analysis
Miami is coming into this game with a 6-5 record overall and they are 1-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 4-3 in their conference games this season. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Tyler Van Dyke played great in that game as he completed 19/33 passes for 357 yards and 3 touchdowns. Thaddius Franklin Jr. led the team in rushing with 36 yards on 9 carries while Jaylan Knighton had 17 yards and 2 touchdowns on 14 carries. Charleston Rambo had a nice day as he led the receivers with 116 yards on 7 receptions while Brashard Smith was right behind him with 90 yards and 1 touchdown on 2 receptions. Mike Harley and Will Mallory both caught the other touchdown passes with 1 each. Keontra Smith led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Jared Harrison-Hunte, Ryan Ragone, Deandre Johnson, and Zach McCloud all led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 362 points in their 11 games this season averaging 32.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 331 points against them allowing 30.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 442.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 405.1 YPG.
Duke Blue Devils Analysis
Duke is coming into this game with a 3-8 record overall and they are 3-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 0-7 in their conference games this season. They are on a 7 game losing streak and coming into this one off of another loss in their last game. Gunnar Holmberg did not play well in that game as he completed 19/34 passes for 176 yards and 1 interception. Riley Leonard came in the game as well and he completed 13/13 passes for 99 yards. Mataeo Durant led the team in rushing with 78 yards on 13 carries while Riley Leonard had 70 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 carries. Jalon Calhoun also ran in 1 TD on the ground in that one. Jake Bobo had a nice day as he led the receivers with 102 yards on 9 receptions. Shaka Heyward led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. RJ Oben recorded the only sack in that game for them while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 264 points in their 11 games this season averaging 24 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 430 points against them allowing 39.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 438.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 517.1 YPG.
Miami vs Duke Prediction
Miami is coming into this game as a 21 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Duke does not have a single win in the conference this season and they have been playing really badly in their recent games. Their defense has allowed opponents to score 40 or more points against them in 5 straight games. This defense is a mess and Miami has been playing much better in this final stretch of the regular season. Their offense will be able to score enough points on this bad defense to pull away and maintain their large lead. The best bet to place in this game is on Miami to cover the spread here as this should be a blowout.
Miami Duke Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 27, 2021 (12:30 pm ET start time) is Miami 45 Duke 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Miami Hurricanes Duke Blue Devils prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
NCAAF Betting Trends
Miami Hurricanes: 174-178 ATS in all games. 127-140 ATS as a favorite. 82-66 ATS in road games. 110-113 ATS against conference opponents. 101-114 ATS after playing a conference game.
Duke Blue Devils: 172-165 ATS in all games. 131-120 ATS as an underdog. 34-24 O/U as a home underdog. 55-47 O/U in home games.
Key Injuries
Miami Hurricanes: B. Jennings Jr. (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. G. Hall Jr. (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Garcia (QB) Late Nov - Ankle injury.
Duke Blue Devils: M. Smith (TE) out for season - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
"We've got an 11-week resume and there's a lot of things on the resume we don't like. That's for certain. But 11 times out of 11, we've brought it and our guys have competed. They've played hard for each other." - Manny Diaz on his team’s win against VT in their last game.
"Nothing turned out really the way you want it to turn out. Obviously some parts of it went from bad to worse." - David Cutcliffe on his team’s loss against Louisville in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Hurricanes
WR KeyShawn Smith
WR Rambo, Charleston
WR Mike Harley
TE Mallory, Will
QB Van Dyke, Tyler
RB Knighton, Jaylan
Duke Blue Devils
WR Bobo, Jake
WR Pancol, Eli
WR Calhoun, Jalon
TE Marwede, Jake
QB Holmberg, Gunnar
RB Durant, Mataeo
Statistical Leaders
Miami Hurricanes
Passing: T. Van Dyke (2550)
Rushing: J. Knighton (510)
Receiving: C. Rambo (1071)
Touchdowns: J. Knighton (10)
Duke Blue Devils
Passing: G. Holmberg (2210)
Rushing: M. Durant (1165)
Receiving: J. Bobo (769)
Touchdowns: M. Durant (11)
Coaches:
Miami Hurricanes: Manny Diaz (3rd season)
Duke Blue Devils: David Cutcliffe (14th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
