Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Sunday, April 3, 2022
Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch: NBA TV
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Heat +2, Raptors -2; Over/Under: 212.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Heat +4, Raptors -4; Over/Under: 212.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Heat +3.5, Raptors -3.5; Over/Under: 212.5 points
Season Record
Miami Heat: 49-28 (1st place, Southeast Division)
Toronto Raptors: 45-32 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
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Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Miami Heat: 5-5 last 10
Toronto Raptors: 8-2 last 10
Miami Heat Analysis
The Heat are coming into this game with a 49-28 record overall and they are 22-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Brooklyn Nets while their 2 wins since then have come against the Sacramento Kings and the Boston Celtics in their last game. They still have a game against the Chicago Bulls on Saturday night that needs to be played first so this will be the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them on Sunday night. In their game against the Celtics, Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 24 while Kyle Lowry was next on the team with 23 points. Lowry and Bam Adebayo led the team in assists in that game with 8 each while Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 48.1% from the field, 38.2% from 3-point range, and 68% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.2 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 105.1 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 42-34-1 this season and their O/U record is 44-32-1.
Toronto Raptors Analysis
The Raptors are coming into this game with a 45-32 record overall and they are 21-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 5 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Chicago Bulls while their 6 wins in that span came against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Indiana Pacers, the Boston Celtics, the Minnesota Timberwolves, and the Orlando Magic in their last game. Scottie Barnes and Fred VanVleet both led the team in points in that game with 19 each while Gary Trent Jr. was next on the team with 17 points. Scottie Barnes led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Pascal Siakam led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 41.9% from the field, 31% from 3-point range, and 85% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.3 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 106.8 PPG against them. The Raptors have an ATS record of 44-32-1 this season and their O/U record is 38-39.
Heat vs Raptors Prediction
The Heat have not been playing well recently as they just lost 4 straight games but they are coming into this game off of 2 straight wins and they have been playing much better since snapping their losing streak. They beat the Kings by over 20 points and they went into Boston beating the Celtics who have been playing very well recently. This will be a heated game as Kyle Lowry will be returning to Toronto to play against them but the Heat may have to sit some players out here due to Canada's vaccine mandates. They are going up against a Raptors team that has been playing very well recently with 6 wins in their last 7 games and they have won their last 2 games at home by double digits as well. They will play Lowry and the Heat very hard here and with how well they have been playing recently, they have a very good chance of beating them as the Heat have had their own struggles recently. The Raptors should be able to edge out the Heat by a few points here at home.
Heat Raptors Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Sunday, April 3, 2022 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Raptors 114 Heat 111.
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NBA Betting Trends
Miami Heat: 21-14 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 15-5 ATS as an underdog. 18-6 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent.
Toronto Raptors: 8-13 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders. 10-5 OVER after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. 16-7 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.
Key Injuries
Miami Heat: M. Strus (PG) Ques Sat - Shoulder injury. G. Vincent (SG) Ques Sat - Toe injury. C. Martin (SF) Ques Sat - Calf injury.
Toronto Raptors: Y. Watanabe (SG) Ques Sun - Quadricep injury. M. Flynn (PG) Mid April - Hamstring injury. D. Johnson (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
"I think we did a good job of just communicating and being there for each other." - Kyle Lowry on their win against the Celtics on Wednesday night.
"I usually try to coach the game that's in front of us. If someone comes off the bench and gives us a contribution he can get extended minutes, but that was not the case. I think tonight our starters got more minutes than usual out of necessity." - Nick Nurse after his team’s win against the Magic on Friday night.
Starting Lineups
Miami Heat
PG Kyle Lowry
SG Max Strus
SF Jimmy Butler
PF P.J. Tucker
C Bam Adebayo
Toronto Raptors
PG Fred VanVleet
SG Gary Trent Jr.
SF OG Anunoby
PF Scottie Barnes
C Pascal Siakam
Statistical Leaders
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (21.3)
APG: K. Lowry (7.5)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.3)
Toronto Raptors
PPG: P. Siakam (22.3)
APG: F. VanVleet (6.6)
Reb/G: P. Siakam (8.4)
Coaches:
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (14th season)
Toronto Raptors: Nick Nurse (4th season)