Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/26/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Monday, February 26, 2024

Venue:  Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +7.5, Kings -7.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +7.5, Kings -7.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +7.5, Kings -7.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Miami Heat:  31-25 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

Sacramento Kings:  32-23 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Miami Heat:  7-3 last 10

Sacramento Kings:  5-5 last 10

The Heat are entering this game with a 31-25 record overall and they are 16-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Milwaukee Bucks, the Philadelphia 76ers, and the New Orleans Pelicans in their last game. Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 24 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 23 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jimmy Butler led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 46.3% from the field, 44.8% from 3-point range, and 68% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.1 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 27-28-1 this season and their O/U record is 21-35.

The Kings are entering this game with a 32-23 record overall and they are 16-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets and the San Antonio Spurs in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Los Angeles Clippers still to be played on Sunday night. In their game against the Spurs, De'Aaron Fox led the team in points in that game with 28 while Domantas Sabonis was next on the team with 22 points. Domantas Sabonis led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 55.9% from the field, 39.4% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 28-26-1 this season and their O/U record is 28-24-3.

The current betting odds have the Heat listed as a 7.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 31-25 record overall which has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East right now. They have been a good road team this year with their 16-12 road record and they are looking to surge up the standings more to get into a true playoff spot. Meanwhile, the Kings have also looked good in their games this season with their 32-23 record overall which has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. Just like the Heat, the Kings are trying to surge up the standings to get into a true playoff spot and they have looked good on their home court this year with their 16-9 home record. The Kings haven't been as hot in their games lately though, they have won 2 games in a row now but they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Heat have been starting to get really hot now with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games and they are coming into this one with some momentum of their own from 3 wins in a row. The Heat are also in a better situation here since they are playing this game with some rest while the Kings are playing on a back-to-back with a really tough game against the Clippers the night before. The Heat are going to continue getting hot here and rip off another win on their streak. The best way to place a bet here is on the Heat to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat Kings Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, February 26, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Heat 111 Kings 104.

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Miami Heat: 26-17 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 8-2 ATS off 3 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog. 26-17 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 26-12 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 6 or more consecutive games. 8-3 OVER off 3 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog.

Sacramento Kings: 29-39 ATS as a home favorite. 2-7 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 17-7 OVER in home games. 22-14 OVER as a favorite. 6-3 OVER revenging a road loss vs opponent.

Miami Heat:  T. Rozier (PG) Early March - Knee. J. Richardson (SG) Early March - Shoulder. D. Smith (SG) out for season - Knee.

Sacramento Kings:  A. Len (C) Ques Sun - Illness. S. Vezenkov (SF) Late March - Ankle.

“You never want to see that. Once it was all done, the response was appropriate — discipline, physicality, force, but not going over the top.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Pelicans in their game on Friday.

“Our guys just kind of found a way tonight. It wasn’t pretty at all, and you give a lot of credit to San Antonio. They played a heck of a game.” - Mike Brown after his team’s win against the Spurs in their game on Thursday.

PG Delon Wright

SG Tyler Herro

SF Jimmy Butler

PF Caleb Martin

C Bam Adebayo

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Kevin Huerter

SF Harrison Barnes

PF Keegan Murray

C Domantas Sabonis

PPG: J. Butler (21.4)

APG: T. Rozier (6.4)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.6)

PPG: D. Fox (26.8)

APG: D. Sabonis (8.4)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (13.2)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)

Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (2nd season)