Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/06/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Apr 05, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, April 6, 2023
Venue:  Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch:  TNT


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +5.5, 76ers -5.5; Over/Under:  220.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +5.5, 76ers -5.5; Over/Under:  220.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +5.5, 76ers -5.5; Over/Under:  220.5 points

Season Record

Miami Heat:  42-37 (1st place, Southeast Division)
Philadelphia 76ers:  52-27 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10
Philadelphia 76ers:  5-5 last 10


Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Preview and Analysis


The Heat are coming into this game with a 42-37 record overall and they are 16-23 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Dallas Mavericks and the Detroit Pistons in their last game. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 27 while Gabe Vincent was next on the team with 22 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jimmy Butler led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 51.3% from the field, 36.1% from 3-point range, and 88.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.8 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 28-48-3 this season and their O/U record is 38-41.



The 76ers are coming into this game with a 52-27 record overall and they are 29-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Boston Celtics in their last game. Joel Embiid led the team in points in that game with 52 while James Harden was next on the team with 20 points. James Harden led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Joel Embiid led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 50% from the field, 37.9% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.5 PPG against them. The 76ers have an ATS record of 45-33-1 this season and their O/U record is 41-36-2.


Heat vs 76ers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Heat listed as a 5.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat have not been having a great year with their 42-37 record overall but they have been playing a lot better in their games lately as they are starting to get hot now. They haven't been a good road team all season with their 16-23 road record but they have won 2 games in a row now and still have something to play for. They are in 7th place in the East at the moment which is a play-in spot but they are only 1 game back of 6th place which is an actual playoff spot they could still sneak into before the end of the season. The 76ers are 52-27 overall this season making them one of the best teams in the East and the entire NBA. They have also been a great home team all year with their 29-11 home record but they don't really have anything left to play for as they can't catch the Bucks for the number 1 seed. The 76ers should be focused on getting to the playoffs healthy but the Heat still need to win this game to get into a playoff series so they will keep fighting to the end of the regular season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Heat to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat 76ers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, April 6, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Heat 120 76ers 114.
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NBA Betting Trends


Miami Heat: 28-49 ATS in all games. 15-25 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 220. 13-7 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite.
Philadelphia 76ers: 24-14 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5. 35-22 ATS as a favorite. 19-9 UNDER off a win against a division rival.

Key Injuries


Miami Heat:  N. Jovic (SF) Out indefinitely - Back.
Philadelphia 76ers:  None.


Notable Quotes


“We had a lot of guys contribute to this win, but Jimmy did what closers do. We just need to get him the ball and we trust that he’s going to make the right decisions.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Pistons in their game on Tuesday.


“We were trying to give them the game back. We really tried.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s win against the Celtics in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Miami Heat
PG Gabe Vincent
SG Tyler Herro
SF Max Strus
PF Jimmy Butler 
C Bam Adebayo

Philadelphia 76ers
PG James Harden
SG Tyrese Maxey
SF Tobias Harris 
PF P.J. Tucker
C Joel Embiid

Statistical Leaders


Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (22.9)
APG: J. Butler (5.3)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.3)

Philadelphia 76ers
PPG: J. Embiid (33.3)
APG: J. Harden (10.8)
Reb/G: J. Embiid (10.2)

Coaches:
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)
Philadelphia 76ers: Doc Rivers (3rd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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