Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/26/2026

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 26, 2026

Venue:  Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  FDSSU, NBCSP

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +2.5, 76ers -2.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +2.5, 76ers -2.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +2.5, 76ers -2.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

Miami Heat:  31-28 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

Philadelphia 76ers:  32-26 (4th place, Atlantic Division)

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Miami Heat:  5-5 last 10

Philadelphia 76ers:  5-5 last 10

The Heat are entering this game with a 31-28 record overall this season and they are 14-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Milwaukee Bucks. Norman Powell led the team in points in that game with 26 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 18 points. Davion Mitchell led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 42.6% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 77.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 34-25 this season and their O/U record is 30-29.

The 76ers are entering this game with a 32-26 record overall this season and they are 15-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Indiana Pacers. Tyrese Maxey led the team in points in that game with 32 while Joel Embiid was next on the team with 27 points. Tyrese Maxey led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Tyrese Maxey led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 57.6% from the field, 27.6% from 3-point range, and 84% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.9 PPG against them. The 76ers have an ATS record of 32-26 this season and their O/U record is 31-27.

The current betting odds have the 76ers listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The 76ers have looked good in their games this season with their 32-26 record overall which has them in the top half of the East. They haven't looked great on their home court though with their 15-15 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 31-28 record overall which has them right in the middle of the East. They haven't been a great road team though with their 14-17 road record this year. The Heat have been up and down all season and that is a big reason why they are fighting for a spot in the play-in tournament right now. They can still crack the top 6 in the East, but they have struggled to climb higher in the standings all year and they haven't looked that great lately either. They are off a road loss to the Bucks in their last one and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games too. The 76ers haven't looked any better lately as they are also 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they have also been dealing with some injuries lately with Embiid in and out of the lineup. Now they are healthier though and they have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. They have been a better road team this year, but they are going to need to win their home games to make a playoff run and that starts here as they try to come out of the All-Star Break on a run. The 76ers are the more talented team here at home and now that they are healthier, they should be able to take advantage of an up and down Heat team that hasn't looked great lately and has struggled in road games all year. The best way to place a bet here is on the 76ers to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat 76ers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, February 26, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is 76ers 133 Heat 124.

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Miami Heat: 25-15 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 7-1 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3. 9-2 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 10-5 OVER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season.

Philadelphia 76ers: 10-22 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. 13-24 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 15-26 ATS at home versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game. 9-1 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 93 or more shots/game.

Miami Heat:  N. Jovic (PF) Day To Day - Back.

Philadelphia 76ers:  J. Broome (PF) Day To Day - Knee.

“That pressure is a privilege, and I want our locker room to feel that pressure. We need to push our game to a higher level.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the Bucks in their game on Tuesday.

"I think it was a good opportunity for him to get out there and get some minutes under his belt. Obviously, good to see the rhythm and touch offensively. I think, again, there's some, probably a little bit of conditioning and stuff lost there. So, it's good to probably get a good amount of minutes for him to play tonight, but good to see him back out there for sure." - Nick Nurse after his team’s win against the Pacers in their game on Tuesday.

PG Davion Mitchell

SG Tyler Herro

SF Norman Powell

PF Andrew Wiggins

C Bam Adebayo

PG Tyrese Maxey

SG VJ Edgecombe

SF Kelly Oubre Jr.

PF Dominick Barlow

C Joel Embiid

PPG: Norman Powell (22.9)

APG: Davion Mitchell (7.1)

Reb/G: Bam Adebayo (9.8)

PPG: Tyrese Maxey (29.1)

APG: Tyrese Maxey (6.7)

Reb/G: Andre Drummond (8.7)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (18th season)

Philadelphia 76ers: Nick Nurse (3rd season)