Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/14/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 14, 2024

Venue:  Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +4, 76ers -4; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +4, 76ers -4; Over/Under:  224.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +4, 76ers -4; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Miami Heat:  28-25 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

Philadelphia 76ers:  32-21 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Miami Heat:  4-6 last 10

Philadelphia 76ers:  3-7 last 10

The Heat are entering this game with a 28-25 record overall and they are 13-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Boston Celtics in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Milwaukee Bucks still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Celtics, Tyler Herro led the team in points in that game with 24 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 22 points. Terry Rozier led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 41.2% from the field, 30% from 3-point range, and 93.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.8 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 24-28-1 this season and their O/U record is 21-32.

The 76ers are entering this game with a 32-21 record overall and they are 17-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Washington Wizards and the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game. Kelly Oubre Jr. and Buddy Hield each led the team in points in that game with 24 while Tyrese Maxey was next on the team with 22 points. Tyrese Maxey led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Kenyon Martin Jr, Paul Reed, and Mo Bamba each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 54.5% from the field, 42.3% from 3-point range, and 84.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114 PPG against them. The 76ers have an ATS record of 31-22 this season and their O/U record is 32-21.

The current betting odds have the 76ers listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The 76ers have looked good in their games this season with their 32-21 record overall which has them in a playoff spot in the East right now. They were right near the top of the East for most of the season but have been slipping lately since losing Embiid to injury. They have still looked good on their home court this year with their 17-10 home record and they are starting to gain some momentum now with 2 wins in a row too. Meanwhile, the Heat have looked good this season with their 28-25 record overall which has them fighting for a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East right now. They haven't looked great in their road games this year with their 13-12 road record and they just lost their last game to the Celtics. The 76ers are only 3-7 in their last 10 games but they have won 2 games in a row now and are starting to look a lot better while the Heat haven't looked any better in their games lately as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Heat are also in a terrible situation here since they are playing this game on a back-to-back and they are now banged up too with key players like Butler missing from their lineup. The 76ers have looked a lot better in their last 2 games and will be looking to take advantage of the Heat in this situation now that they have some momentum on their side. The best way to place a bet here is on the 76ers to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat 76ers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, February 14, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is 76ers 121 Heat 109.

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Miami Heat: 1-7 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. 5-9 ATS off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog. 33-21 UNDER in all games. 20-9 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 18-8 UNDER in road games. 

Philadelphia 76ers: 13-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 15-7 ATS as a home favorite. 6-3 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 26-19 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent. 

Miami Heat:  D. Robinson (SF) Ques Tues - Shoulder. J. Richardson (SG) Early March - Shoulder. T. Rozier (PG) Ques Tues - Leg. J. Butler (PF) Out indefinitely - Personal. D. Smith (SG) out for season - Knee.

Philadelphia 76ers:  T. Harris (SF) Ques Wed - Hip. D. Melton (PG) Late Feb - Back. N. Batum (SG) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Embiid (C) Early April - Knee. R. Covington (SF) Late Feb - Knee.

“I thought our group showed a tremendous amount of grit in that second half. There were a lot of things that weren’t necessarily going our way, including the injuries. To really fight and claw back and get this game on the ropes, it’s a credit to how hard guys were playing.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the Celtics in their game on Sunday.

“With Buddy down the stretch, it turned into him looking a guy right in the eye and nailing a 3. He can shoot the ball — we know that.” - Nick Nurse after his team’s win against the Cavaliers in their game on Monday.

PG Tyler Herro

SG Duncan Robinson

SF Jaime Jaquez Jr.

PF Caleb Martin

C Bam Adebayo

PG Tyrese Maxey

SG Buddy Hield

SF Tobias Harris

PF KJ Martin

C Paul Reed

PPG: J. Butler (21.4)

APG: T. Rozier (6.4)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.6)

PPG: J. Embiid (35.3)

APG: T. Maxey (6.4)

Reb/G: J. Embiid (11.3)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)

Philadelphia 76ers: Nick Nurse (1st season)