Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/14/2022

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Dec 13, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, December 14, 2022
Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 
Where to Watch:  BSOK

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat -3, Thunder +3; Over/Under:  227 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat -3, Thunder +3; Over/Under:  227 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat -3, Thunder +3; Over/Under:  227 points
 

Season Record

Miami Heat:  13-15 (2nd place, Southeast Division)
Oklahoma City Thunder:  11-16 (5th place, Northwest Division)
 
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Recent Form
Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10
Oklahoma City Thunder:  4-6 last 10

 

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview and Analysis

 
The Heat are coming into this game with a 13-15 record overall and they are 4-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Indiana Pacers in their last game. Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 22 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 20 points. Tyler Herro led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 38.6% from the field, 26.5% from 3-point range, and 77.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 107.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 9-18-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-13.
 
 
 
The Thunder are coming into this game with an 11-16 record overall and they are 6-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Memphis Grizzlies, the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 42 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 17 points. Jalen Williams and Josh Giddey each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Aleksej Pokuševski led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 47.7% from the field, 32.3% from 3-point range, and 95.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.7 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 16-11 this season and their O/U record is 17-10.

 

Heat vs Thunder Prediction

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have not been great lately losing 3 games in a row now, but all 3 of those losses have come against some of the better teams in the NBA this season. They have not been getting blown out in these games either with their last 2 losses coming by single digits and all 3 of those losses also came on the road. They play a lot better at home with a winning record there this season and more than half of their wins this year have come at home too. The Heat are coming off a win on the road in Indiana the other night but they barely won that game by 5 points in a very low scoring defensive game. They have not been a very good team on the road this season with just a 4-9 record in road games and the Thunder are going to be hungry for a win in their 1st game back from a road trip against some very good teams which they lost 3 in a row to. The Thunder are also a lot healthier than the Heat are as the Heat are missing a lot of their bench depth to injuries. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game.
 
Heat Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, December 14, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 109 Heat 105.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Miami Heat: 9-18 ATS in all games. 5-13 ATS as a favorite. 8-4 OVER after a combined score of 185 points or less. 
Oklahoma City Thunder: 14-8 ATS as an underdog. 20-5 ATS off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. 17-7 OVER off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog.
 

Key Injuries

 
Miami Heat:  G. Vincent (SG) Ques Wed - Knee. O. Yurtseven (C) Mid Feb - Ankle.
Oklahoma City Thunder:  K. Williams (SG) Ques Wed - Knee. C. Holmgren (C) out for season - Foot.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
“We knew coming in it was going to be by any means necessary. If you don't lock in and play defense, they can take a 10-, 12-point lead on you quickly. This is not an easy team to play.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Pacers in their game on Monday.
 
 
“Any stretch of the game can beat you. We just couldn’t stop the bleeding in the second quarter enough to keep it reined in.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Mavericks in their game on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Miami Heat
PG Kyle Lowry
SG Tyler Herro
SF Caleb Martin
PF Jimmy Butler
C Bam Adebayo
 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 
SG Josh Giddey
SF Luguentz Dort 
PF Jalen Williams
C Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (21.7)
APG: J. Butler (5.9)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.5)
 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (31.2)
APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (5.8)
Reb/G: J. Giddey (7.8)
 
Coaches:
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (3rd season)
 


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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