Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/02/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, May 2, 2023

Venue:  Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Where to Watch:  TNT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +7, Knicks -7; Over/Under:  207 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +7, Knicks -7; Over/Under:  207 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +7.5, Knicks -7.5; Over/Under:  207.5 points

Miami Heat:  44-38 (1st place, Southeast Division)

New York Knicks:  47-35 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Miami Heat:  7-3 last 10

New York Knicks:  6-4 last 10

The Heat finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 17-24 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Milwaukee Bucks in 3 games in a row and the New York Knicks in their last games. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 25 while Gabe Vincent was next on the team with 20 points. Kyle Lowry led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jimmy Butler led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 42.4% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 79.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.8 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 36-51-3 this season and their O/U record is 46-44.

The Knicks finished the regular season with a 47-35 record overall and they were 23-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Miami Heat in their last game. RJ Barrett led the team in points in that game with 26 while Jalen Brunson was next on the team with 25 points. RJ Barrett and Jalen Brunson each led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Mitchell Robinson led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 47.7% from the field, 20.6% from 3-point range, and 60% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.1 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 48-36-4 this season and their O/U record is 43-43-2.

The current betting odds have the Heat listed as a 7 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7-game series between the 5th seeded Knicks and the 8th seeded Heat for the 2nd round of the playoffs in the NBA Eastern Conference. The Heat are entering this game with a 1-0 series lead after stealing the 1st game of this series on the road in New York. The Heat have done nothing but surprise in these playoffs as they are the 8th seeded team in the East but eliminated the number 1 seeded Bucks in the East in the 1st round and have now won the 1st game of their 2nd round series as a road underdog. The Knicks were banged up for that game 1 as they were missing Julius Randle and there is a good chance he will be back for this game, but it is not going to matter for the Knicks here as they are still going struggle with this hot Heat team that has been great in every game of these playoffs. Both of these teams have been flexing their defense in the playoffs as game 1 was very tight before the Heat started to pull away and this is going to be a very similar game with the winning team not winning by many points, even if the Knicks do take game 2 here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Heat to cover the spread in this game.

Heat Knicks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, May 2, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Knicks 104 Heat 101.

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Miami Heat: 9-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 16-32 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 28-18 OVER when the total is 200 to 209.5. 13-6 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points.

New York Knicks: 16-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 27-15 ATS after playing a home game. 18-8 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 20-12 OVER as a home favorite.

Miami Heat:  V. Oladipo (SG) out for season - Knee. T. Herro (SG) Early June - Hand.

New York Knicks:  T. Keels (SG) Out Indefinitely - Illness. I. Roby (SF) Out Indefinitely - Ankle. J. Sims (C) out for season - Shoulder. J. Randle (PF) Ques Tues - Ankle. D. Washington Jr. (PG) Out indefinitely - Hip.

“It’s the playoffs, number one. You expect it to be tough. Two, just because the regular season didn’t go the way we wanted it to go or other people wanted it to go, doesn’t mean we weren’t developing grit and tough habits and good things. It wasn’t just from the play-in.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Knicks in their game on Sunday, game 1 of this series.

“Any time you’re down, especially an All-Star like him, you’re going to miss him and we did tonight.” - RJ Barrett on missing Julius Randle after their loss against the Heat in their game on Sunday, game 1 of this series.

PG Gabe Vincent

SG Max Strus

SF Jimmy Butler

PF Kevin Love

C Bam Adebayo

PG Jalen Brunson

SG Quentin Grimes

SF RJ Barrett

PF Julius Randle

C Mitchell Robinson

PPG: J. Butler (22.9)

APG: J. Butler (5.3)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.2)

PPG: J. Randle (25.1)

APG: J. Brunson (6.2)

Reb/G: J. Randle (10)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)

New York Knicks: Tom Thibodeau (3rd season)