Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/06/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  NBC, Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +5.5, Timberwolves -5.5; Over/Under:  236.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +5.5, Timberwolves -5.5; Over/Under:  236.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +5.5, Timberwolves -5.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

Miami Heat:  20-16 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  23-13 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

The Heat are entering this game with a 20-16 record overall this season and they are 7-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the New Orleans Pelicans. Norman Powell led the team in points in that game with 34 while Nikola Jović was next on the team with 19 points. Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, and Pelle Larsson each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Kel'el Ware led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 46.5% from the field, 40.9% from 3-point range, and 72.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.3 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 21-15 this season and their O/U record is 17-19.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 23-13 record overall this season and they are 12-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat and the Washington Wizards. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 35 while Julius Randle was next on the team with 22 points. Jaden McDaniels and Bones Hyland each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 56.1% from the field, 29.7% from 3-point range, and 74.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 15-21 this season and their O/U record is 17-19.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked really good in their games this season with their 23-13 record overall which has them right in the top half of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 12-6 home record this year. Meanwhile, the Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 20-16 record overall which has them right in the top half of the East. They haven't been a great road team though with their 7-10 road record this season. The Heat haven't looked bad lately as they are off a win over the Pelicans in their last one and they are also 6-4 in their last 10 games. As good as they have looked lately, a lot of their success has come against bad teams in the NBA, and they have struggled when they have played against teams with winning records. The Heat are also missing some starters and that is going to be a big issue against one of the more talented teams in the NBA. The Timberwolves don't always roll teams over in the regular season, but they have been one of the best teams in the West over the last few years with their consistency. They have looked good lately too, going 6-4 in their last 10 games, and they have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. They also beat this Heat team on the road just a few days ago, and now the Timberwolves will have the home advantage. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, January 6, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 124 Heat 108.

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Miami Heat: 9-14 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 8-14 ATS on the road when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. 36-29 UNDER as a road underdog. 31-19 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 22-13 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 19-7 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 6-3 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 93 or more shots/game. 11-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230.

Miami Heat:  T. Herro (SG) Day To Day - Toe. J. Jaquez Jr. (SF) Day To Day - Ankle.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  T. Shannon Jr. (SG) Day To Day - Foot.

“That is and has to be our identity. We have to play with the recklessness and activity level that exceeds our opponent. And that’s not to put down our talent level or anything like that. It’s more about how we look different when we’re flying around and making plays and making it tough for the opponent.” - Erik Spoelstra on his team this season. 

“He’s having a really good year. I’m pleased with, more importantly, his impact. I knew he was talented, and he’s a skilled player, but I’m impressed with his shot-blocking. And I think his motor has been better and better. It’s really important, I think, for him to have the career that he can have.” - Rudy Gobert on Alex Sarr after their win against the Wizards in their game on Sunday.

PG Davion Mitchell

SG Pelle Larsson

SF Norman Powell

PF Andrew Wiggins

C Bam Adebayo 

PG Donte DiVincenzo

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: Norman Powell (24.4)

APG: Davion Mitchell (7.4)

Reb/G: Kel'el Ware (10.6)

PPG: Anthony Edwards (29.4)

APG: Julius Randle (5.7)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.1)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (18th season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)