Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/19/2023

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, April 19, 2023

Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +6.5, Bucks -6.5; Over/Under:  220.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +7, Bucks -7; Over/Under:  222 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +7.5, Bucks -7.5; Over/Under:  220.5 points

Miami Heat:  44-38 (1st place, Southeast Division)

Milwaukee Bucks:  58-24 (1st place, Central Division)

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Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10

Milwaukee Bucks:  5-5 last 10

The Heat finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 17-24 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Chicago Bulls and the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 35 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 22 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 59.5% from the field, 60% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.8 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 32-50-3 this season and their O/U record is 42-43.

The Bucks finished the regular season with a 58-24 record overall and they were 32-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Memphis Grizzlies, the Toronto Raptors, and the Miami Heat in their last game. Khris Middleton led the team in points in that game with 33 while Bobby Portis was next on the team with 21 points. Jrue Holiday led the team in assists in that game with 16 while Khris Middleton led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 49.5% from the field, 24.4% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.3 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 43-34-6 this season and their O/U record is 43-40.

The current betting odds have the Heat listed as a 6.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7-game series between the 1st seeded Bucks and the 8th seeded Heat for the 1st round of the playoffs in the NBA Eastern Conference. The Heat took game 1 of this series with a huge road win to upset the Bucks but they were also helped out by an injury to Giannis which saw him only play 11 minutes of the game. Giannis was already dealing with an injury coming into the playoffs but now he is bothered by a back injury and it does not look good for the Bucks. He only played 11 minutes in game 1 and the Bucks just couldn't keep up without him on the court as they were trailing the entire game. The Bucks may be without him for game 2 and that would be really bad for them as they would be at risk losing that game too, but even if Giannis does play he won't be 100% and the Heat have shown they can give the Bucks all they can handle. The Bucks are in a bad situation in this series and the Heat will play well enough here to keep this game close even if they do lose and the Bucks tie up the series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Heat to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 19, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Heat 114 Bucks 110.

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Miami Heat: 16-26 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5. 6-25 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 13-7 OVER off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more. 20-12 OVER in April games. 

Milwaukee Bucks: 24-11 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 10-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite. 25-16 OVER as a home favorite. 14-6 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 

Miami Heat:  N. Jovic (SF) Out indefinitely - Back. T. Herro (SG) Early June - Hand.

Milwaukee Bucks:  G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Ques Wed - Back. A. Green (PG) Ques Wed - Foot.

“He's just a brilliant competitor. He does it on both ends of the court. He has an innate feel for what's necessary during the course of a game. We needed obviously some offensive punch, some triggers, something to settle us all down, particularly when we found out Tyler was out. Jimmy was able to do it in a lot of different ways.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Bucks in their game on Sunday, game 1 of this series.

"There was an X-ray that was clear here. We’ll monitor him and see how he does, see how he wakes up, how he feels the rest of tonight and tomorrow.” - Mike Budenholzer on Giannis after his team’s loss against the Heat in their game on Sunday, game 1 of this series. 

PG Gabe Vincent

SG Victor Oladipo

SF Max Strus

PF Jimmy Butler 

C Bam Adebayo

PG Jrue Holiday

SG Grayson Allen

SF Khris Middleton

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PPG: J. Butler (22.9)

APG: J. Butler (5.3)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.2)

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (31.1)

APG: J. Holiday (7.4)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.8)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)

Milwaukee Bucks: Mike Budenholzer (5th season)