Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/13/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 13, 2024

Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +6.5, Bucks -6.5; Over/Under:  228 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +6.5, Bucks -6.5; Over/Under:  228 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +6.5, Bucks -6.5; Over/Under:  228 points

Miami Heat:  28-25 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

Milwaukee Bucks:  34-19 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Miami Heat:  4-6 last 10

Milwaukee Bucks:  4-6 last 10

The Heat are entering this game with a 28-25 record overall and they are 13-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Boston Celtics in their last game. Tyler Herro led the team in points in that game with 24 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 22 points. Terry Rozier led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 41.2% from the field, 30% from 3-point range, and 93.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.8 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 24-28-1 this season and their O/U record is 21-32.

The Bucks are entering this game with a 34-19 record overall and they are 22-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Charlotte Hornets in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Denver Nuggets still to be played on Monday night. In their game against the Hornets, Damian Lillard led the team in points in that game with 26 while Malik Beasley was next on the team with 21 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 43.6% from the field, 34.6% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 119.3 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 20-32-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-24.

The current betting odds have the Heat listed as a 6.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 28-25 record overall which has them fighting for a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East right now. They haven't been at their best in road games but they haven't been a bad road team either with their 13-12 road record. Meanwhile, the Bucks have looked really good in their games all season with their 34-19 record overall which has them near the top of the East with one of the best records in the NBA right now. They have also looked great on their home court all year with their 22-6 home record. They do have some momentum here as they are coming off a win against the Hornets in their last game, but they are also in a bad situation here playing this game on a back-to-back with a much tougher game against the Nuggets the night before too. The Bucks have also been banged up lately and haven't looked great in their games lately as they have struggled more since hiring Doc Rivers as their head coach. The Heat haven't looked great lately but they did play a really good game in their last one against the Celtics and they have the rest advantage in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Heat to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, February 13, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Heat 124 Bucks 120.

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Miami Heat: 7-13 ATS as an underdog. 3-8 ATS against Central division opponents. 6-11 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 8-3 OVER against Central division opponents. 8-4 OVER revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 8-4 OVER off a home loss.

Milwaukee Bucks: 24-13 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. 12-7 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games. 9-3 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 18-10 OVER in home games. 15-6 OVER off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog.

Miami Heat:  T. Rozier (PG) Ques Tues - Leg. J. Richardson (SG) Ques Tues - Shoulder. J. Butler (PF) Out indefinitely - Personal. D. Smith (SG) out for season - Knee.

Milwaukee Bucks:  D. Lillard (PG) Prob Mon - Ankle. G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Prob Mon - Knee. K. Middleton (SF) Out Mon - Ankle.

“I thought our group showed a tremendous amount of grit in that second half. There were a lot of things that weren’t necessarily going our way, including the injuries. To really fight and claw back and get this game on the ropes, it’s a credit to how hard guys were playing.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the Celtics in their game on Sunday.

“I thought we set a tone defensively. We were flying around tonight. Our energy was high. I didn't see our guards get picked tonight. We've just got to keep working on it.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s win against the Hornets in their game on Friday.

PG Terry Rozier 

SG Tyler Herro

SF Jimmy Butler

PF Caleb Martin

C Bam Adebayo

PG Damian Lillard

SG Malik Beasley

SF Jae Crowder 

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PPG: J. Butler (21.4)

APG: T. Rozier (6.4)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.6)

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.7)

APG: D. Lillard (6.8)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.2)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)