by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Wednesday, Nov 10, 2021
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, November 10, 2021
Venue: STAPLES Center, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Heat -4.5, Lakers +4.5; Over/Under: 214.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Heat -4, Lakers +4; Over/Under: 214.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Heat NL, Lakers NL; Over/Under: NL points
Season Record
Miami Heat: 7-3 (1st place, Southeast Division)
Los Angeles Lakers: 6-5 (4th place, Pacific Division)
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Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Miami Heat: 7-3 last 10
Los Angeles Lakers: 6-4 last 10
Miami Heat Analysis
The Heat are coming into this game with a 7-3 record overall and they are 3-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games with that 1 win coming against the Utah Jazz while those 2 losses came against the Boston Celtics and the Denver Nuggets in their last game. Jimmy Butler went off for them in that game as he led the team in points with 31 while Duncan Robinson was next on the team with 13 points. Butler also led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 10. Their shooting was alright in that game as they were 39.7% from the field, 36.1% with their 3-pointers, and 84% from the free throw line. Their offense is averaging 110.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 101.5 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 7-2 this season and their O/U record is 4-5.
Los Angeles Lakers Analysis
The Lakers are coming into this game with a 6-5 record overall and they are 5-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped the 2 game losing streak that they were on. The 2 losses in that span came against the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Portland Trail Blazers while their win was against the Charlotte Hornets in their last game. They won that game by just 3 points and had to go to overtime to do it. Anthony Davis went off in that game as he led his team in points with 32 while Carmelo Anthony was next on the team off the bench with 29 points. Russell Westbrook led the team in assists in that game with 14 while he and Davis both led the team in rebounds with 12 each. Their shooting was good in that game as they were 48.4% from the field, 40.6% with their 3-pointers, and 71.4% from the free throw line. Their offense is averaging 111.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 2-8 this season and their O/U record is 5-5.
Heat vs Lakers Prediction
The Heat are coming into this game as a 4.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat are coming off of a loss in their last game and will be looking to bounce back from that. The Lakers have not been playing well recently with 2 losses, including 1 to the Thunder, and a win against the Hornets in OT at home all in their last 3 games. The Heat are a more complete team right now and playing much better than the Lakers are. The best bet to place in this game is on the Heat to cover the spread here.
Heat Lakers Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, November 10, 2021 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Heat 114 Lakers 101.
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NBA Betting Trends
Miami Heat: 430-420 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 1100-1074 ATS in all games. 108-88 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 672-658 ATS as a favorite. 249-213 ATS as a road favorite. 553-513 ATS in road games. 143-119 ATS against Pacific division opponents.
Los Angeles Lakers: 200-225 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 1041-1144 ATS in all games. 149-187 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 387-407 ATS as an underdog. 110-121 ATS as a home underdog. 508-572 ATS in home games.
Key Injuries
Miami Heat: M. Strus (PG) Ques Wed - Knee injury. V. Oladipo (SG) Mid Nov - Quadricep injury.
Los Angeles Lakers: L. James (SF) Out Wed - Abdominal injury. T. Horton-Tucker (SG) Out indefinitely - Thumb injury. K. Nunn (PG) Out indefinitely - Ankle injury. T. Ariza (SF) Early Dec - Ankle injury.
Notable Quotes
"We wanted to make sure Kieff was and is OK. We'll find out more He's moving around right now in the locker room. But that was a very dangerous, dirty play." - Erik Spoelstra on Nikola Jokic hitting Markieff Morris from behind in their loss to the Nuggets on Monday night.
"Every possession, every minute on the floor has to matter." - Dwight Howard on having no excuses for their loss against the Trail Blazers on Saturday night.
Starting Lineups
Miami Heat
PG Kyle Lowry
SG Duncan Robinson
SF Jimmy Butler
PF P.J. Tucker
C Bam Adebayo
Los Angeles Lakers
PG Russell Westbrook
SG Avery Bradley
SF Kent Bazemore
PF Carmelo Anthony
C Anthony Davis
Statistical Leaders
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (25.3)
APG: K. Lowry (7.1)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (11.8)
Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: L. James (24.8)
APG: R. Westbrook (8.5)
Reb/G: A. Davis (11.1)
Coaches:
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (14th season)
Los Angeles Lakers: Frank Vogel (3rd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
