Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/27/2022

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Oct 26, 2022
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, October 27, 2022
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA 
Where to Watch:  NBA TV

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +7, Warriors -7; Over/Under:  224 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +7, Warriors -7; Over/Under:  224 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +7, Warriors -7; Over/Under:  224 points
 

Season Record

Miami Heat:  1-3 (4th place, Southeast Division)
Golden State Warriors:  2-2 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
 
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Recent Form
Miami Heat:  1-3 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  2-2 last 10

 

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis

 
The Heat are coming into this game with a 1-3 record overall and they are playing their 2nd road game of the season here. This will be the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Portland Trail Blazers still to be played on Wednesday night. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Toronto Raptors in their last game. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 26 while Tyler Herro was next on the team with 22 points. Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, and Gabe Vincent all led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Tyler Herro led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 34.9% from the field, 23.5% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 103.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.5 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 0-4 this season and their O/U record is 2-2.
 
 
 
The Warriors are coming into this game with a 2-2 record overall and they are 2-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Phoenix Suns in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 21 while Jordan Poole was next on the team with 17 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Draymond Green led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 45.1% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 76.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 124 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 1-3 this season and their O/U record is 4-0.

 

Heat vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors just took a very bad loss in their last game as they were blown out by over 30 points, and that doesn't happen very often for them. They are going to be eager to get off to a good start here and bounce back on their home court, and this is a great spot for them to do so. The Heat haven't had a great start to their season as they are just 1-3 through 4 games and they have a very tough schedule coming up. They are also playing this game on a back-to-back as they take on the undefeated Trail Blazers the night before and they will likely be tired from that game as they try to hand Portland their 1st loss of the season. This is the perfect spot for the Warriors to come out and lay waste to the Heat on a back-to-back, especially after getting blown out themselves in their last game. The Warriors are going to be looking to pass that embarrassment onto the Heat here who are already struggling out of the gate this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game.
 
Heat Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, October 27, 2022 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 123 Heat 111.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Miami Heat: 22-15 ATS as a road underdog. 30-19 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5. 33-21 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 220.
Golden State Warriors: 7-13 ATS against Southeast division opponents. 29-18 UNDER off a road loss. 40-26 UNDER in non-conference games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Miami Heat:  O. Yurtseven (C) Out Wed - Ankle. V. Oladipo (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Martin (SF) Elig Wed - Suspension. N. Jovic (SF) Elig Wed - Suspension.
Golden State Warriors:  A. Iguodala (SG) Ques Thurs - Hip. D. DiVincenzo (SG) Ques Thurs - Hamstring.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
“They made shots. They made some big shots down the stretch, even the ones that we were defending pretty well." - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the Raptors on Monday.
 
 
“His shot wasn’t going. Some decent looks early didn’t go and I thought he got a little frustrated. I love the competitiveness. Obviously, he took it too far with the ejection, but I love the fire. Klay is an incredible competitor. We need his energy.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the Suns on Tuesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Miami Heat
PG Kyle Lowry
SG Tyler Herro
SF Caleb Martin
PF Jimmy Butler
C Bam Adebayo
 
Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Klay Thompson
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Draymond Green
C Kevon Looney
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (23)
APG: K. Lowry (4.5)
Reb/G: T. Herro (8.8)
 
Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (30.3)
APG: J. Poole (5.8)
Reb/G: A. Wiggins (6.3)
 
Coaches:
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)
 


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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